The importance of biomarker development for monitoring type 1 diabetes progression rate and therapeutic responsiveness

Type 1 diabetes (T1D) is an autoimmune condition of children and adults in which immune cells target insulin-producing pancreatic β-cells for destruction. This results in a chronic inability to regulate blood glucose levels. The natural history of T1D is well-characterized in childhood. Evidence of two or more autoantibodies to the islet antigens insulin, GAD, IA-2 or ZnT8 in early childhood is associated with high risk of developing T1D in the future. Prediction of risk is less clear in adults and, overall, the factors controlling the progression rate from multiple islet autoantibody positivity to onset of symptoms are not fully understood. An anti-CD3 antibody, teplizumab, was recently shown to delay clinical progression to T1D in high-risk individuals including adults and older children. This represents an important proof of concept for those at risk of future T1D. Given their role in risk assessment, islet autoantibodies might appear to be the most obvious biomarkers to monitor efficacy. However, monitoring islet autoantibodies in clinical trials has shown only limited effects, although antibodies to the most recently identified autoantigen, tetraspanin-7, have not yet been studied in this context. Measurements of beta cell function remain fundamental to assessing efficacy and different models have been proposed, but improved biomarkers are required for both progression studies before onset of diabetes and in therapeutic monitoring. In this mini-review, we consider some established and emerging predictive and prognostic biomarkers, including markers of pancreatic function that could be integrated with metabolic markers to generate improved strategies to measure outcomes of therapeutic intervention.