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Mathematical model analysis of effective intervention strategies on transmission dynamics of hepatitis B virus

Hepatitis B is one of the world’s most common and severe infectious diseases. Worldwide, over 350 million people are currently estimated to be persistent carriers of the hepatitis B virus (HBV), with the death of 1 million people from the chronic stage of HBV infection. In this work, developed a non...

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Autores principales: Wodajo, Firaol Asfaw, Gebru, Dawit Melesse, Alemneh, Haileyesus Tessema
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10227825/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37253760
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-35815-z
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author Wodajo, Firaol Asfaw
Gebru, Dawit Melesse
Alemneh, Haileyesus Tessema
author_facet Wodajo, Firaol Asfaw
Gebru, Dawit Melesse
Alemneh, Haileyesus Tessema
author_sort Wodajo, Firaol Asfaw
collection PubMed
description Hepatitis B is one of the world’s most common and severe infectious diseases. Worldwide, over 350 million people are currently estimated to be persistent carriers of the hepatitis B virus (HBV), with the death of 1 million people from the chronic stage of HBV infection. In this work, developed a nonlinear mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of HBV. We constructed the mathematical model by considering vaccination, treatment, migration, and screening effects. We calculated both disease-free and endemic equilibrium points for our model. Using the next-generation matrix, an effective reproduction number for the model is calculated. We also proved the asymptotic stability of both local and global asymptotically stability of disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. By calculating the sensitivity indices, the most sensitive parameters that are most likely to affect the disease’s endemicity are identified. From the findings of this work, we recommend vaccination of the entire population and screening all the exposed and migrants. Additionally, early treatment of both the exposed class after screening and the chronically infected class is vital to decreasing the transmission of HBV in the community.
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spelling pubmed-102278252023-06-01 Mathematical model analysis of effective intervention strategies on transmission dynamics of hepatitis B virus Wodajo, Firaol Asfaw Gebru, Dawit Melesse Alemneh, Haileyesus Tessema Sci Rep Article Hepatitis B is one of the world’s most common and severe infectious diseases. Worldwide, over 350 million people are currently estimated to be persistent carriers of the hepatitis B virus (HBV), with the death of 1 million people from the chronic stage of HBV infection. In this work, developed a nonlinear mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of HBV. We constructed the mathematical model by considering vaccination, treatment, migration, and screening effects. We calculated both disease-free and endemic equilibrium points for our model. Using the next-generation matrix, an effective reproduction number for the model is calculated. We also proved the asymptotic stability of both local and global asymptotically stability of disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. By calculating the sensitivity indices, the most sensitive parameters that are most likely to affect the disease’s endemicity are identified. From the findings of this work, we recommend vaccination of the entire population and screening all the exposed and migrants. Additionally, early treatment of both the exposed class after screening and the chronically infected class is vital to decreasing the transmission of HBV in the community. Nature Publishing Group UK 2023-05-30 /pmc/articles/PMC10227825/ /pubmed/37253760 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-35815-z Text en © The Author(s) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Wodajo, Firaol Asfaw
Gebru, Dawit Melesse
Alemneh, Haileyesus Tessema
Mathematical model analysis of effective intervention strategies on transmission dynamics of hepatitis B virus
title Mathematical model analysis of effective intervention strategies on transmission dynamics of hepatitis B virus
title_full Mathematical model analysis of effective intervention strategies on transmission dynamics of hepatitis B virus
title_fullStr Mathematical model analysis of effective intervention strategies on transmission dynamics of hepatitis B virus
title_full_unstemmed Mathematical model analysis of effective intervention strategies on transmission dynamics of hepatitis B virus
title_short Mathematical model analysis of effective intervention strategies on transmission dynamics of hepatitis B virus
title_sort mathematical model analysis of effective intervention strategies on transmission dynamics of hepatitis b virus
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10227825/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37253760
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-35815-z
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