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Volatility spillovers across sectors and their magnitude: A sector-based analysis for Australia

While spillover across equity markets has been extensively investigated, volatility spillover across sectors has largely been under-examined in the current literature. This paper estimates the sectoral volatility using the ARMA-GARCH model and its spillover across Australian sectors on the VAR frame...

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Autor principal: Vo, Duc Hong
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10234523/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37262027
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0286528
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author Vo, Duc Hong
author_facet Vo, Duc Hong
author_sort Vo, Duc Hong
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description While spillover across equity markets has been extensively investigated, volatility spillover across sectors has largely been under-examined in the current literature. This paper estimates the sectoral volatility using the ARMA-GARCH model and its spillover across Australian sectors on the VAR framework during the 2010–2021 period. We then identify breakpoints in market volatility during the Covid-19 pandemic using a wavelet methodology. We find that volatility spillover across Australian sectors is very significant at 60 per cent from 2010 to 2019, reaching 90 per cent during the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020. The spillover then reverts to its pre-pandemic level in 2021. Consumer Staples and Industrials are the significant risk transmitters, whereas Financials and Real estates are the most significant risk absorbers. Our findings also indicate that Real Estate, Health Care, and Financials record the most significant increase in volatility of more than 300 per cent. Policy implications regarding risk management across Australian sectors have emerged, particularly during extreme events such as the pandemic.
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spelling pubmed-102345232023-06-02 Volatility spillovers across sectors and their magnitude: A sector-based analysis for Australia Vo, Duc Hong PLoS One Research Article While spillover across equity markets has been extensively investigated, volatility spillover across sectors has largely been under-examined in the current literature. This paper estimates the sectoral volatility using the ARMA-GARCH model and its spillover across Australian sectors on the VAR framework during the 2010–2021 period. We then identify breakpoints in market volatility during the Covid-19 pandemic using a wavelet methodology. We find that volatility spillover across Australian sectors is very significant at 60 per cent from 2010 to 2019, reaching 90 per cent during the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020. The spillover then reverts to its pre-pandemic level in 2021. Consumer Staples and Industrials are the significant risk transmitters, whereas Financials and Real estates are the most significant risk absorbers. Our findings also indicate that Real Estate, Health Care, and Financials record the most significant increase in volatility of more than 300 per cent. Policy implications regarding risk management across Australian sectors have emerged, particularly during extreme events such as the pandemic. Public Library of Science 2023-06-01 /pmc/articles/PMC10234523/ /pubmed/37262027 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0286528 Text en © 2023 Duc Hong Vo https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Vo, Duc Hong
Volatility spillovers across sectors and their magnitude: A sector-based analysis for Australia
title Volatility spillovers across sectors and their magnitude: A sector-based analysis for Australia
title_full Volatility spillovers across sectors and their magnitude: A sector-based analysis for Australia
title_fullStr Volatility spillovers across sectors and their magnitude: A sector-based analysis for Australia
title_full_unstemmed Volatility spillovers across sectors and their magnitude: A sector-based analysis for Australia
title_short Volatility spillovers across sectors and their magnitude: A sector-based analysis for Australia
title_sort volatility spillovers across sectors and their magnitude: a sector-based analysis for australia
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10234523/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37262027
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0286528
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