Association between the atrial tachyarrhythmia recurrence period and long-term major adverse clinical events following catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND: We previously demonstrated the clinical events in patients who underwent catheter ablation (CA) for atrial fibrillation (AF). Data on the association between the period of atrial tachyarrhythmia (ATA) recurrence after CA and long-term major adverse clinical events (MACE) remain unclear. In this study, we evaluated this issue in patients with systolic impairment (left ventricular ejection fraction < 50%) and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). METHODS: We retrospectively collected data from 81 patients with systolic impairment and 83 patients with HFpEF who underwent CA for AF at our institution (median follow-up: 4.9 [3.6, 6.6] years). In each group, we compared the cumulative incidence of long-term MACE (since 1 year after CA) between patients with and without ATA recurrence at three follow-up periods (3, 6 months, and 1 year after index CA). We evaluated the period of recurrence, which was the most beneficial predictor of MACE among the periods. RESULTS: In the systolic impairment group, the cumulative long-term MACE incidence was significantly higher in patients with ATA recurrence than in those without it within 6 months and 1 year (P = 0.04 and P = 0.01, respectively). Recurrence within 1 year showed the highest feasibility for predicting long-term MACE (area under the curve with 95% confidence interval [CI]:0.73 [0.61–0.84]). However, there was no difference in the incidence of MACE between patients with and without recurrence in a group with HFpEF in each period. CONCLUSION: ATA recurrence within 1 year could predict long-term MACE in patients with systolic impairment, but not in patients with HFpEF.