Changing nationwide trends away from overtreatment among patients undergoing radical prostatectomy over the past 25 years

PURPOSE: The objective of the current study was to assess whether and how preoperative risk group distribution and pathological outcomes have changed in men treated with radical prostatectomy (RP) over the past 25 years. METHODS: 11,071 patients from a large contemporary registry-based nationwide cohort with RP as primary treatment between 1995 and 2019 were included. Preoperative risk stratification, postoperative outcomes, and 10 years other-cause mortality (OCM) were analyzed. RESULTS: After 2005, the proportion of low-risk prostate cancer (PCa) decreased from 39.6% to 25.5% in 2010 and decreased further to 15.5% in 2015, and 9.4% in 2019 (p < 0.001). The proportion of high-risk cases increased from 13.1% in 2005 to 23.1% in 2010 and 36.7% in 2015, and 40.4% in 2019 (p < 0.001). After 2005, the proportion of cases with favorable localized PCa decreased from 37.3% to 24.9% in 2010 and decreased further to 13.9% in 2015, and 1.6% in 2019 (p < 0.001). The overall 10 years OCM was 7.7%. CONCLUSION: The current analysis documents a clear shift in utilization of RP toward higher-risk PCa in men with long life expectancy. Patients with low-risk PCa or favorable localized PCa are rarely operated. This suggests a shift in applying surgery only to patients who may really benefit from RP and the long-standing discussion of overtreatment might become outdated. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00345-023-04418-8.