Estimation of the value of curative therapies in oncology: a willingness-to-pay study in China

The objective of this study was to estimate the willingness to pay (WTP) per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) among people with malignancies in China. The WTP for a QALY was estimated using a contingent valuation survey. Health utility was measured in EuroQol-5 dimensions (EQ-5D). The questionnaires were completed in face-to-face interviews. Respondents consisted of patients with malignant tumors and their family members and came from three tertiary hospitals in different cities with high, medium, and low gross domestic product (GDP) levels. In this study, we offered lump-sum payments and 10 year installment plans to respondents. Finally, we conducted sensitivity analysis and stepwise regression analyses to identify factors that affected the WTP/QALY ratios. A total of 1264 people participated in this survey, and 1013 people gave WTP responses for further analysis. The mean and median WTP/QALY values based on the lump-sum payments were 366,879 RMB (53,171USD, 5.1 times the GDP per capita) and 99,906 RMB (14,479USD, 1.39 times the GDP per capita) for the overall sample; 339,330 RMB (49,178USD, 4.71 times the GDP per capita) and 83,875 RMB (12,156USD, 1.16 times the GDP per capita) for the patient group; and 407,396 RMB (59,043USD, 5.66 times the GDP per capita) and 149,436 RMB (21,657USD, 2.08 times the GDP per capita) for the family group. Considering the skewedness of the data distribution, we suggest setting the cost-utility threshold with reference to the median. When the payment plan changed to 10-year installments, the median increased to 134,734RMB (19,527USD), 112,390 RMB (16,288USD) and 173,838 RMB (25,194USD) for the above groups, respectively. EQ-5D-5L health utility, annual household income per capita, patients with other chronic diseases, occupation, regular physical examinations (patients) and age (family members) were significantly related to WTP/QALY. This study provides empirical evidence of the monetary value of a QALY from a sample of the Chinese population with malignancies. In addition, the ratio of the WTP/QALY to GDP per capita was related to the disease and hypothetical scenario, and a higher ratio of GDP per capita for malignant tumor therapies should be considered. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12962-023-00442-y.