Population fraction of Parkinson’s disease attributable to preventable risk factors

Parkinson’s disease is the fastest growing neurologic disease with seemingly no means for prevention. Intrinsic risk factors (age, sex, genetics) are inescapable, but environmental factors are not. We studied population attributable fraction and estimated fraction of PD that could be reduced if modifiable risk factors were eliminated. Assessing several known risk factors simultaneously in one study, we demonstrate that all were operative and independent, underscoring etiological heterogeneity within a single population. We investigated repeated blows to head in sports or combat as a potential new risk factor, and found it was associated with two-fold increased risk of PD. Considering modifiable risk factors, 23% of PD cases in females were attributable to pesticides/herbicides exposure, and 30% of PD cases in males was attributable to pesticides/herbicides, Agent Orange/chemical warfare, and repeated blows to the head. Thus, one-in-three cases of PD in males, and one-in-four cases in females could have potentially been prevented.