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How Blackouts during Heat Waves Amplify Mortality and Morbidity Risk

[Image: see text] The recent concurrence of electrical grid failure events in time with extreme temperatures is compounding the population health risks of extreme weather episodes. Here, we combine simulated heat exposure data during historical heat wave events in three large U.S. cities to assess t...

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Autores principales: Stone, Brian, Gronlund, Carina J., Mallen, Evan, Hondula, David, O’Neill, Marie S., Rajput, Mayuri, Grijalva, Santiago, Lanza, Kevin, Harlan, Sharon, Larsen, Larissa, Augenbroe, Godfried, Krayenhoff, E. Scott, Broadbent, Ashley, Georgescu, Matei
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: American Chemical Society 2023
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10249403/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37219950
http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.2c09588
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author Stone, Brian
Gronlund, Carina J.
Mallen, Evan
Hondula, David
O’Neill, Marie S.
Rajput, Mayuri
Grijalva, Santiago
Lanza, Kevin
Harlan, Sharon
Larsen, Larissa
Augenbroe, Godfried
Krayenhoff, E. Scott
Broadbent, Ashley
Georgescu, Matei
author_facet Stone, Brian
Gronlund, Carina J.
Mallen, Evan
Hondula, David
O’Neill, Marie S.
Rajput, Mayuri
Grijalva, Santiago
Lanza, Kevin
Harlan, Sharon
Larsen, Larissa
Augenbroe, Godfried
Krayenhoff, E. Scott
Broadbent, Ashley
Georgescu, Matei
author_sort Stone, Brian
collection PubMed
description [Image: see text] The recent concurrence of electrical grid failure events in time with extreme temperatures is compounding the population health risks of extreme weather episodes. Here, we combine simulated heat exposure data during historical heat wave events in three large U.S. cities to assess the degree to which heat-related mortality and morbidity change in response to a concurrent electrical grid failure event. We develop a novel approach to estimating individually experienced temperature to approximate how personal-level heat exposure changes on an hourly basis, accounting for both outdoor and building-interior exposures. We find the concurrence of a multiday blackout event with heat wave conditions to more than double the estimated rate of heat-related mortality across all three cities, and to require medical attention for between 3% (Atlanta) and more than 50% (Phoenix) of the total urban population in present and future time periods. Our results highlight the need for enhanced electrical grid resilience and support a more spatially expansive use of tree canopy and high albedo roofing materials to lessen heat exposures during compound climate and infrastructure failure events.
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spelling pubmed-102494032023-06-09 How Blackouts during Heat Waves Amplify Mortality and Morbidity Risk Stone, Brian Gronlund, Carina J. Mallen, Evan Hondula, David O’Neill, Marie S. Rajput, Mayuri Grijalva, Santiago Lanza, Kevin Harlan, Sharon Larsen, Larissa Augenbroe, Godfried Krayenhoff, E. Scott Broadbent, Ashley Georgescu, Matei Environ Sci Technol [Image: see text] The recent concurrence of electrical grid failure events in time with extreme temperatures is compounding the population health risks of extreme weather episodes. Here, we combine simulated heat exposure data during historical heat wave events in three large U.S. cities to assess the degree to which heat-related mortality and morbidity change in response to a concurrent electrical grid failure event. We develop a novel approach to estimating individually experienced temperature to approximate how personal-level heat exposure changes on an hourly basis, accounting for both outdoor and building-interior exposures. We find the concurrence of a multiday blackout event with heat wave conditions to more than double the estimated rate of heat-related mortality across all three cities, and to require medical attention for between 3% (Atlanta) and more than 50% (Phoenix) of the total urban population in present and future time periods. Our results highlight the need for enhanced electrical grid resilience and support a more spatially expansive use of tree canopy and high albedo roofing materials to lessen heat exposures during compound climate and infrastructure failure events. American Chemical Society 2023-05-23 /pmc/articles/PMC10249403/ /pubmed/37219950 http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.2c09588 Text en © 2023 The Authors. Published by American Chemical Society https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Permits the broadest form of re-use including for commercial purposes, provided that author attribution and integrity are maintained (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Stone, Brian
Gronlund, Carina J.
Mallen, Evan
Hondula, David
O’Neill, Marie S.
Rajput, Mayuri
Grijalva, Santiago
Lanza, Kevin
Harlan, Sharon
Larsen, Larissa
Augenbroe, Godfried
Krayenhoff, E. Scott
Broadbent, Ashley
Georgescu, Matei
How Blackouts during Heat Waves Amplify Mortality and Morbidity Risk
title How Blackouts during Heat Waves Amplify Mortality and Morbidity Risk
title_full How Blackouts during Heat Waves Amplify Mortality and Morbidity Risk
title_fullStr How Blackouts during Heat Waves Amplify Mortality and Morbidity Risk
title_full_unstemmed How Blackouts during Heat Waves Amplify Mortality and Morbidity Risk
title_short How Blackouts during Heat Waves Amplify Mortality and Morbidity Risk
title_sort how blackouts during heat waves amplify mortality and morbidity risk
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10249403/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37219950
http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.2c09588
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