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How Blackouts during Heat Waves Amplify Mortality and Morbidity Risk
[Image: see text] The recent concurrence of electrical grid failure events in time with extreme temperatures is compounding the population health risks of extreme weather episodes. Here, we combine simulated heat exposure data during historical heat wave events in three large U.S. cities to assess t...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
American Chemical Society
2023
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10249403/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37219950 http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.2c09588 |
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author | Stone, Brian Gronlund, Carina J. Mallen, Evan Hondula, David O’Neill, Marie S. Rajput, Mayuri Grijalva, Santiago Lanza, Kevin Harlan, Sharon Larsen, Larissa Augenbroe, Godfried Krayenhoff, E. Scott Broadbent, Ashley Georgescu, Matei |
author_facet | Stone, Brian Gronlund, Carina J. Mallen, Evan Hondula, David O’Neill, Marie S. Rajput, Mayuri Grijalva, Santiago Lanza, Kevin Harlan, Sharon Larsen, Larissa Augenbroe, Godfried Krayenhoff, E. Scott Broadbent, Ashley Georgescu, Matei |
author_sort | Stone, Brian |
collection | PubMed |
description | [Image: see text] The recent concurrence of electrical grid failure events in time with extreme temperatures is compounding the population health risks of extreme weather episodes. Here, we combine simulated heat exposure data during historical heat wave events in three large U.S. cities to assess the degree to which heat-related mortality and morbidity change in response to a concurrent electrical grid failure event. We develop a novel approach to estimating individually experienced temperature to approximate how personal-level heat exposure changes on an hourly basis, accounting for both outdoor and building-interior exposures. We find the concurrence of a multiday blackout event with heat wave conditions to more than double the estimated rate of heat-related mortality across all three cities, and to require medical attention for between 3% (Atlanta) and more than 50% (Phoenix) of the total urban population in present and future time periods. Our results highlight the need for enhanced electrical grid resilience and support a more spatially expansive use of tree canopy and high albedo roofing materials to lessen heat exposures during compound climate and infrastructure failure events. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-10249403 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | American Chemical Society |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-102494032023-06-09 How Blackouts during Heat Waves Amplify Mortality and Morbidity Risk Stone, Brian Gronlund, Carina J. Mallen, Evan Hondula, David O’Neill, Marie S. Rajput, Mayuri Grijalva, Santiago Lanza, Kevin Harlan, Sharon Larsen, Larissa Augenbroe, Godfried Krayenhoff, E. Scott Broadbent, Ashley Georgescu, Matei Environ Sci Technol [Image: see text] The recent concurrence of electrical grid failure events in time with extreme temperatures is compounding the population health risks of extreme weather episodes. Here, we combine simulated heat exposure data during historical heat wave events in three large U.S. cities to assess the degree to which heat-related mortality and morbidity change in response to a concurrent electrical grid failure event. We develop a novel approach to estimating individually experienced temperature to approximate how personal-level heat exposure changes on an hourly basis, accounting for both outdoor and building-interior exposures. We find the concurrence of a multiday blackout event with heat wave conditions to more than double the estimated rate of heat-related mortality across all three cities, and to require medical attention for between 3% (Atlanta) and more than 50% (Phoenix) of the total urban population in present and future time periods. Our results highlight the need for enhanced electrical grid resilience and support a more spatially expansive use of tree canopy and high albedo roofing materials to lessen heat exposures during compound climate and infrastructure failure events. American Chemical Society 2023-05-23 /pmc/articles/PMC10249403/ /pubmed/37219950 http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.2c09588 Text en © 2023 The Authors. Published by American Chemical Society https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Permits the broadest form of re-use including for commercial purposes, provided that author attribution and integrity are maintained (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). |
spellingShingle | Stone, Brian Gronlund, Carina J. Mallen, Evan Hondula, David O’Neill, Marie S. Rajput, Mayuri Grijalva, Santiago Lanza, Kevin Harlan, Sharon Larsen, Larissa Augenbroe, Godfried Krayenhoff, E. Scott Broadbent, Ashley Georgescu, Matei How Blackouts during Heat Waves Amplify Mortality and Morbidity Risk |
title | How Blackouts during
Heat Waves Amplify Mortality
and Morbidity Risk |
title_full | How Blackouts during
Heat Waves Amplify Mortality
and Morbidity Risk |
title_fullStr | How Blackouts during
Heat Waves Amplify Mortality
and Morbidity Risk |
title_full_unstemmed | How Blackouts during
Heat Waves Amplify Mortality
and Morbidity Risk |
title_short | How Blackouts during
Heat Waves Amplify Mortality
and Morbidity Risk |
title_sort | how blackouts during
heat waves amplify mortality
and morbidity risk |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10249403/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37219950 http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.2c09588 |
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