Triglyceride–glucose index as a marker of adverse cardiovascular prognosis in patients with coronary heart disease and hypertension

BACKGROUND: The triglyceride–glucose (TyG) index has been proposed as a potential predictor of adverse prognosis of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). However, its prognostic value in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD) and hypertension remains unclear. METHODS: A total of 1467 hospitalized patients with CHD and hypertension from January 2021 to December 2021 were included in this prospective and observational clinical study. The TyG index was calculated as Ln [fasting triglyceride level (mg/dL) × fasting plasma glucose level (mg/dL)/2]. Patients were divided into tertiles according to TyG index values. The primary endpoint was a compound endpoint, defined as the first occurrence of all-cause mortality or total nonfatal CVDs events within one-year follow up. The secondary endpoint was atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD) events, including non-fatal stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA) and recurrent CHD events. We used restricted cubic spline analysis and multivariate adjusted Cox proportional hazard models to investigate the associations of the TyG index with primary endpoint events. RESULTS: During the one-year follow-up period, 154 (10.5%) primary endpoint events were recorded, including 129 (8.8%) ASCVD events. After adjusting for confounding variables, for per standard deviation (SD) increase in the TyG index, the risk of incident primary endpoint events increased by 28% [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.28, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04–1.59]. Compared with subjects in the lowest tertile (T1), the fully adjusted HR for primary endpoint events was 1.43 (95% CI 0.90–2.26) in the middle (T2) and 1.73 (95% CI 1.06–2.82) in highest tertile (T3) (P for trend = 0.018). Similar results were observed in ASCVD events. Restricted cubic spline analysis also showed that the cumulative risk of primary endpoint events increased as TyG index increased. CONCLUSIONS: The elevated TyG index was a potential marker of adverse prognosis in patients with CHD and hypertension. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12933-023-01866-9.