Population Sensitive to Lenvatinib Plus Anti-PD-1 for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Infected with Hepatitis B Virus

BACKGROUND: We explore the dose–efficacy relationship of lenvatinib plus anti-PD-1 in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC) infected with hepatitis B virus (HBV) in real-world practice. Furthermore, we identify the population sensitive to lenvatinib plus anti-PD-1 treatments. METHODS: This retrospective study included 70 patients treated with lenvatinib plus at least 3 cycles of anti-PD-1 and 140 with lenvatinib alone. Stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting (SIPTW) was used to balance clinical features between the two groups. The overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR), and adverse events (AEs) were analyzed. Subpopulation treatment effect pattern plot (STEPP) estimated treatment-effect differences between the two groups. RESULTS: The median age was 54 years, and 189 (90%) cases were male. A total of 180 (85%) patients were infected with HBV. A slowly increasing 12-month survival rate was with the cycles of anti-PD-1, and 5 cycles and more of anti-PD-1 appeared the most beneficial and stable survival rate. The lenvatinib plus at least 3 cycles anti-PD-1 group had better OS (21.4 vs 14 months, p = 0.041), PFS (8.0 vs 6.3 months, p = 0.015) than the lenvatinib alone group in unadjusted cohorts, and the SIPTW adjusted cohorts had confirmed it. For patients with portal vein trunk invasion (PVTI) or extrahepatic spread (EHS) combined with Child-Pugh class B (CPB), lenvatinib plus anti-PD-1 made the 12-month survival rate increase by 38%, while, in the other population, it did only 18%. The two groups had similar AEs (p ≥ 0.05). CONCLUSION: The lenvatinib combined with at least 3 cycles of anti-PD-1 was efficacy and safe for u-HCC patients infected with HBV. Especially, patients with PVTI or EHS combined with CPB may benefit most from the combination therapy.