Atrial cardiomyopathy and incident ischemic stroke risk: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Growing evidence suggests that atrial cardiomyopathy may play an essential role in thrombosis and ischemic stroke. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to quantify the values of cardiomyopathy markers for predicting ischemic stroke risk. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were searched for longitudinal cohort studies evaluating the association between cardiomyopathy markers and incident ischemic stroke risk. RESULTS: We included 25 cohort studies examining electrocardiographic, structural, functional, and serum biomarkers of atrial cardiomyopathy involving 262,504 individuals. P-terminal force in the precordial lead V1 (PTFV1) was found to be an independent predictor of ischemic stroke as both a categorical variable (HR 1.29, CI 1.06–1.57) and a continuous variable (HR 1.14, CI 1.00–1.30). Increased maximum P-wave area (HR 1.14, CI 1.06–1.21) and mean P-wave area (HR 1.12, CI 1.04–1.21) were also associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke. Left atrial (LA) diameter was independently associated with ischemic stroke as both a categorical variable (HR 1.39, CI 1.06–1.82) and a continuous variable (HR 1.20, CI 1.06–1.35). LA reservoir strain independently predicted the risk of incident ischemic stroke (HR 0.88, CI 0.84–0.93). N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) was also associated with incident ischemic stroke risk, both as a categorical variable (HR 2.37, CI 1.61–3.50) and continuous variable (HR 1.42, CI 1.19–1.70). CONCLUSION: Atrial cardiomyopathy markers, including electrocardiographic markers, serum markers, LA structural and functional markers, can be used to stratify the risk of incident ischemic stroke. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00415-023-11693-3.