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A data-driven robust EVaR-PC with application to portfolio management

We investigate the robust chance constrained optimization problem (RCCOP), which is a combination of the distributionally robust optimization (DRO) and the chance constraint (CC). The RCCOP plays an important role in modeling uncertain parameters within a decision-making framework. The chance constr...

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Autores principales: He, Qingyun, Hong, Chuanyang
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10270575/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37319273
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0287093
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author He, Qingyun
Hong, Chuanyang
author_facet He, Qingyun
Hong, Chuanyang
author_sort He, Qingyun
collection PubMed
description We investigate the robust chance constrained optimization problem (RCCOP), which is a combination of the distributionally robust optimization (DRO) and the chance constraint (CC). The RCCOP plays an important role in modeling uncertain parameters within a decision-making framework. The chance constraint, which is equivalent to a constraint of Value-at-risk (VaR), is approximated by risk measures such as Entropic Value-at-risk (EVaR) or Conditional Value-at-risk (CVaR) due to its difficulty to be evaluated. An excellent approximation requires both tractability and non-conservativeness. In addition, the DRO assumes that we know partial information about the distribution of uncertain parameters instead of their known true underlying probability distribution. In this article, we develop a novel approximation EVaR- PC based on EVaR for CC. Then, we evaluate the proposed approximation EVaR- PC using a discrepancy-based ambiguity set with the wasserstein distance. From a theoretical perspective, the EVaR- PC is less conservative than EVaR and the wasserstein distance possesses many good theoretical properties; from a practical perspective, the discrepancy-based ambiguity set can make full use of the data to estimate the nominal distribution and reduce the sensitivity of decisions to priori knowledges. To show the advantages of our method, we show its application in portfolio management in detail and give the relevant experimental results.
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spelling pubmed-102705752023-06-16 A data-driven robust EVaR-PC with application to portfolio management He, Qingyun Hong, Chuanyang PLoS One Research Article We investigate the robust chance constrained optimization problem (RCCOP), which is a combination of the distributionally robust optimization (DRO) and the chance constraint (CC). The RCCOP plays an important role in modeling uncertain parameters within a decision-making framework. The chance constraint, which is equivalent to a constraint of Value-at-risk (VaR), is approximated by risk measures such as Entropic Value-at-risk (EVaR) or Conditional Value-at-risk (CVaR) due to its difficulty to be evaluated. An excellent approximation requires both tractability and non-conservativeness. In addition, the DRO assumes that we know partial information about the distribution of uncertain parameters instead of their known true underlying probability distribution. In this article, we develop a novel approximation EVaR- PC based on EVaR for CC. Then, we evaluate the proposed approximation EVaR- PC using a discrepancy-based ambiguity set with the wasserstein distance. From a theoretical perspective, the EVaR- PC is less conservative than EVaR and the wasserstein distance possesses many good theoretical properties; from a practical perspective, the discrepancy-based ambiguity set can make full use of the data to estimate the nominal distribution and reduce the sensitivity of decisions to priori knowledges. To show the advantages of our method, we show its application in portfolio management in detail and give the relevant experimental results. Public Library of Science 2023-06-15 /pmc/articles/PMC10270575/ /pubmed/37319273 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0287093 Text en © 2023 He, Hong https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
He, Qingyun
Hong, Chuanyang
A data-driven robust EVaR-PC with application to portfolio management
title A data-driven robust EVaR-PC with application to portfolio management
title_full A data-driven robust EVaR-PC with application to portfolio management
title_fullStr A data-driven robust EVaR-PC with application to portfolio management
title_full_unstemmed A data-driven robust EVaR-PC with application to portfolio management
title_short A data-driven robust EVaR-PC with application to portfolio management
title_sort data-driven robust evar-pc with application to portfolio management
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10270575/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37319273
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0287093
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