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Are there bubbles in shipping freight during COVID-19?

This study examines the potential bubbles' shipping freight rates during the pandemic through the Generalized Supremum Augmented Dickey-Fuller test. The results explore multiple bubbles in the freight rates during corona disease (COVID-19). Moreover, the result finds that Baltic Dry Index is th...

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Autores principales: Khan, Khalid, Khurshid, Adnan, Köseoğlu, Sinem Derindere
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10272953/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2023.101319
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author Khan, Khalid
Khurshid, Adnan
Köseoğlu, Sinem Derindere
author_facet Khan, Khalid
Khurshid, Adnan
Köseoğlu, Sinem Derindere
author_sort Khan, Khalid
collection PubMed
description This study examines the potential bubbles' shipping freight rates during the pandemic through the Generalized Supremum Augmented Dickey-Fuller test. The results explore multiple bubbles in the freight rates during corona disease (COVID-19). Moreover, the result finds that Baltic Dry Index is the most explosive and shows four bubbles, followed by Baltic Clean Tanker Index. The volatile behavior has been more frequent and pronounced since the second quarter of 2021, mainly instigated by the economic recovery. The results detect four bubbles in Baltic Dry Index caused by strong demand for raw materials and uncertainty restrictions. Furthermore, a single bubble in the Baltic Dirty Tanker Index is caused by the increasing oil price, growing demand for floating storage while burst due to new restrictions of the second wave, declining oil prices, and shortages of vessels. The need for oil products, logistical problems and the highest oil prices are the leading determinants of Baltic Clean Tanker index bubbles.
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spelling pubmed-102729532023-06-16 Are there bubbles in shipping freight during COVID-19? Khan, Khalid Khurshid, Adnan Köseoğlu, Sinem Derindere Research in Transportation Economics Research Paper This study examines the potential bubbles' shipping freight rates during the pandemic through the Generalized Supremum Augmented Dickey-Fuller test. The results explore multiple bubbles in the freight rates during corona disease (COVID-19). Moreover, the result finds that Baltic Dry Index is the most explosive and shows four bubbles, followed by Baltic Clean Tanker Index. The volatile behavior has been more frequent and pronounced since the second quarter of 2021, mainly instigated by the economic recovery. The results detect four bubbles in Baltic Dry Index caused by strong demand for raw materials and uncertainty restrictions. Furthermore, a single bubble in the Baltic Dirty Tanker Index is caused by the increasing oil price, growing demand for floating storage while burst due to new restrictions of the second wave, declining oil prices, and shortages of vessels. The need for oil products, logistical problems and the highest oil prices are the leading determinants of Baltic Clean Tanker index bubbles. Elsevier Ltd. 2023-09 2023-06-16 /pmc/articles/PMC10272953/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2023.101319 Text en © 2023 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Research Paper
Khan, Khalid
Khurshid, Adnan
Köseoğlu, Sinem Derindere
Are there bubbles in shipping freight during COVID-19?
title Are there bubbles in shipping freight during COVID-19?
title_full Are there bubbles in shipping freight during COVID-19?
title_fullStr Are there bubbles in shipping freight during COVID-19?
title_full_unstemmed Are there bubbles in shipping freight during COVID-19?
title_short Are there bubbles in shipping freight during COVID-19?
title_sort are there bubbles in shipping freight during covid-19?
topic Research Paper
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10272953/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2023.101319
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