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Projecting global oil palm expansion under zero-deforestation commitments: Direct and indirect land use change impacts
In the last three decades, global production of oil palm has boomed, which has partly come at the expense of tropical rainforests. Recognizing this, many companies operating in the palm oil industry have committed to eliminate deforestation from their operations, often referred to as zero-deforestat...
Autores principales: | , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier
2023
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10275959/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37332602 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2023.106971 |
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author | Leijten, Floris Lantz C Baldos, Uris Johnson, Justin A. Sim, Sarah Verburg, Peter H. |
author_facet | Leijten, Floris Lantz C Baldos, Uris Johnson, Justin A. Sim, Sarah Verburg, Peter H. |
author_sort | Leijten, Floris |
collection | PubMed |
description | In the last three decades, global production of oil palm has boomed, which has partly come at the expense of tropical rainforests. Recognizing this, many companies operating in the palm oil industry have committed to eliminate deforestation from their operations, often referred to as zero-deforestation commitments (ZDCs). Here, we estimate that if ZDCs are fully adopted and enforced across all sectors and geographies, the global extent of oil palm plantations may be 11 M ha or 40% smaller in 2030 than in a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario that assumes no compliance with ZDCs. As a result of such land-sparing effects, we estimate that 96 M ha of forests are saved from conversion, of which, 17% would otherwise have been converted (directly or indirectly) due to expanding oil palm plantations. Overall, these figures suggest that ZDCs have the potential to deliver major environmental benefits if they are fully adopted and enforced. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-10275959 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | Elsevier |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-102759592023-06-18 Projecting global oil palm expansion under zero-deforestation commitments: Direct and indirect land use change impacts Leijten, Floris Lantz C Baldos, Uris Johnson, Justin A. Sim, Sarah Verburg, Peter H. iScience Article In the last three decades, global production of oil palm has boomed, which has partly come at the expense of tropical rainforests. Recognizing this, many companies operating in the palm oil industry have committed to eliminate deforestation from their operations, often referred to as zero-deforestation commitments (ZDCs). Here, we estimate that if ZDCs are fully adopted and enforced across all sectors and geographies, the global extent of oil palm plantations may be 11 M ha or 40% smaller in 2030 than in a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario that assumes no compliance with ZDCs. As a result of such land-sparing effects, we estimate that 96 M ha of forests are saved from conversion, of which, 17% would otherwise have been converted (directly or indirectly) due to expanding oil palm plantations. Overall, these figures suggest that ZDCs have the potential to deliver major environmental benefits if they are fully adopted and enforced. Elsevier 2023-05-26 /pmc/articles/PMC10275959/ /pubmed/37332602 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2023.106971 Text en © 2023 The Author(s) https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). |
spellingShingle | Article Leijten, Floris Lantz C Baldos, Uris Johnson, Justin A. Sim, Sarah Verburg, Peter H. Projecting global oil palm expansion under zero-deforestation commitments: Direct and indirect land use change impacts |
title | Projecting global oil palm expansion under zero-deforestation commitments: Direct and indirect land use change impacts |
title_full | Projecting global oil palm expansion under zero-deforestation commitments: Direct and indirect land use change impacts |
title_fullStr | Projecting global oil palm expansion under zero-deforestation commitments: Direct and indirect land use change impacts |
title_full_unstemmed | Projecting global oil palm expansion under zero-deforestation commitments: Direct and indirect land use change impacts |
title_short | Projecting global oil palm expansion under zero-deforestation commitments: Direct and indirect land use change impacts |
title_sort | projecting global oil palm expansion under zero-deforestation commitments: direct and indirect land use change impacts |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10275959/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37332602 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2023.106971 |
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