Primary non-response to antiviral therapy affects the prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Although antiviral treatments have been shown to affect the recurrence and long-term survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who have high viral loads, the effect of different responses to antiviral therapy on the clinical outcomes remains unclear. This study aimed to assess the effect of primary non-response (no-PR) to antiviral therapy on the survival or prognosis of patients with HCC with a high load of hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA. METHODS: A total of 493 HBV-HCC patients hospitalized at Beijing Ditan Hospital of Capital Medical University were admitted to this retrospective study. Patients were divided into two groups based on viral response (no-PR and primary response). Kaplan–Meier (KM) curves were used to compare the overall survival of the two cohorts. Serum viral load comparison and subgroup analysis were performed. Additionally, risk factors were screened and the risk score chart was created. RESULTS: This study consisted of 101 patients with no-PR and 392 patients with primary response. In the different categories based on hepatitis B e antigen and HBV DNA, no-PR group had a poor 1-year overall survival (OS). In addition, in the alanine aminotransferase < 50 IU/L and cirrhosis groups, primary nonresponse was related to poor overall survival and progression-free survival. Based on multivariate risk analysis, primary non-response (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.883, 95% CI 1.289–2.751, P = 0.001), tumor multiplicity (HR = 1.488, 95% CI 1.036–2.136, P = 0.031), portal vein tumor thrombus (HR = 2.732, 95% CI 1.859–4.015, P < 0.001), hemoglobin < 120 g/L (HR = 2.211, 95% CI 1.548–3.158, P < 0.001) and tumor size ≥ 5 cm (HR = 2.202, 95% CI 1.533–3.163, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for 1-year OS. According to the scoring chart, patients were divided into three risk groups (high-, medium-, and low-risk groups) with mortality rates of 61.7%, 30.5%, and 14.1%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The level of viral decline at 3 months post-antiviral treatment may predict the OS of patients with HBV-related HCC, and primary non-response may shorten the median survival time of patients with high HBV-DNA levels. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-023-11059-y.