Trajectories of glycated hemoglobin of T2DM and progress of arterial stiffness: a prospective study

AIM: This study aimed to describe the different trajectories groups of HbA1c during the long-term treatment of diabetes and explore the effect of glycemic control on the progression of arterial stiffness. METHOD: The study participants registered at the National Metabolic Management Center (MMC) of Beijing Luhe hospital. The latent class mixture model (LCMM) was used to identify distinct trajectories of HbA1c. We calculated the change value of baPWV (ΔbaPWV) of each participant between the whole follow-up time as the primary outcome. Then we examined the associations between each HbA1c trajectory pattern and ΔbaPWV using covariate-adjusted means (SE) of ΔbaPWV, which were calculated by multiple linear regression analyses adjusted for the covariates. RESULTS: After data cleaning, a total of 940 type 2 diabetes patients aged 20–80 years were included in this study. According to the BIC, we identified four discrete trajectories of HbA1c: Low-stable, U-shape, Moderate-decrease, High-increase, respectively. Compared with the low-stable group of HbA1c, the adjusted mean values of baPWV were significantly higher in U-shape, Moderate-decrease, and High-increase groups (all P < 0.05, and P for trend < 0.001), the mean values (SE) were 82.73 (0.08), 91.19 (0.96), 116.00 (0.81) and 223.19 (11.54), respectively. CONCLUSION: We found four different trajectories groups of HbA1c during the long-term treatment of diabetes. In addition, the result proves the causal relationship between long-term glycemic control and arterial stiffness on a time scale. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13098-023-01108-8.