Association of the Clinical and Radiographic Findings at Onset With Future Joint Destruction in Patients With Rheumatoid Arthritis

Objectives: Since inflammation can cause joint destruction in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA), it is assumed that joints that are symptomatic at onset are at higher risk of joint destruction; however, this theory remains controversial. This study aimed to investigate whether the progression of joint destruction in hands and feet could be predicted from the clinical and radiographic findings at onset. Methods: This study included 75 patients who visited our hospital within one year after the onset of RA with at least 12 months of follow-up. We examined the positive predictive value (PPV) and the sensitivity of the clinical findings (swelling, tenderness, and squeeze test) and joint destruction at onset for the progression of joint destruction. Results: Sixty joints (45 metacarpophalangeal and proximal interphalangeal joints, 15 metatarsophalangeal joints) exhibited progressive structural destruction during the study course. Both the PPV and the sensitivity of the clinical findings for the progression of joint destruction were low; however, only the sensitivity of the squeeze test for the feet was high. The PPV of joint destruction at onset was higher than the clinical findings, and the sensitivity of joint destruction at onset was as high as the squeeze test for the feet. Conclusions: Regular follow-up with imaging is necessary regardless of symptoms and joint destruction at the onset. Adding the squeeze test for feet to routine clinical practice may help predict the risk of joint destruction for the feet.