The trilemma among CO(2) emissions, energy use, and economic growth in Russia

This paper examines the relationship among CO(2) emissions, energy use, and GDP in Russia using annual data ranging from 1990 to 2020. We first conduct time-series analyses (stationarity, structural breaks, cointegration, and causality tests). Then, we performed some Machine Learning experiments as...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Magazzino, Cosimo, Mele, Marco, Drago, Carlo, Kuşkaya, Sevda, Pozzi, Cesare, Monarca, Umberto
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2023
Materias:
Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10290072/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37353561
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-37251-5
_version_ 1785062412658933760
author Magazzino, Cosimo
Mele, Marco
Drago, Carlo
Kuşkaya, Sevda
Pozzi, Cesare
Monarca, Umberto
author_facet Magazzino, Cosimo
Mele, Marco
Drago, Carlo
Kuşkaya, Sevda
Pozzi, Cesare
Monarca, Umberto
author_sort Magazzino, Cosimo
collection PubMed
description This paper examines the relationship among CO(2) emissions, energy use, and GDP in Russia using annual data ranging from 1990 to 2020. We first conduct time-series analyses (stationarity, structural breaks, cointegration, and causality tests). Then, we performed some Machine Learning experiments as robustness checks. Both approaches underline a bidirectional causal flow between energy use and CO(2) emissions; a unidirectional link running from CO(2) emissions to real GDP; and the predominance of the “neutrality hypothesis” for energy use-GDP nexus. Therefore, energy conservation measures should not adversely affect the economic growth path of the country. In the current geopolitical scenario, relevant policy implications may be derived.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-10290072
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2023
publisher Nature Publishing Group UK
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-102900722023-06-25 The trilemma among CO(2) emissions, energy use, and economic growth in Russia Magazzino, Cosimo Mele, Marco Drago, Carlo Kuşkaya, Sevda Pozzi, Cesare Monarca, Umberto Sci Rep Article This paper examines the relationship among CO(2) emissions, energy use, and GDP in Russia using annual data ranging from 1990 to 2020. We first conduct time-series analyses (stationarity, structural breaks, cointegration, and causality tests). Then, we performed some Machine Learning experiments as robustness checks. Both approaches underline a bidirectional causal flow between energy use and CO(2) emissions; a unidirectional link running from CO(2) emissions to real GDP; and the predominance of the “neutrality hypothesis” for energy use-GDP nexus. Therefore, energy conservation measures should not adversely affect the economic growth path of the country. In the current geopolitical scenario, relevant policy implications may be derived. Nature Publishing Group UK 2023-06-23 /pmc/articles/PMC10290072/ /pubmed/37353561 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-37251-5 Text en © The Author(s) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Magazzino, Cosimo
Mele, Marco
Drago, Carlo
Kuşkaya, Sevda
Pozzi, Cesare
Monarca, Umberto
The trilemma among CO(2) emissions, energy use, and economic growth in Russia
title The trilemma among CO(2) emissions, energy use, and economic growth in Russia
title_full The trilemma among CO(2) emissions, energy use, and economic growth in Russia
title_fullStr The trilemma among CO(2) emissions, energy use, and economic growth in Russia
title_full_unstemmed The trilemma among CO(2) emissions, energy use, and economic growth in Russia
title_short The trilemma among CO(2) emissions, energy use, and economic growth in Russia
title_sort trilemma among co(2) emissions, energy use, and economic growth in russia
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10290072/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37353561
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-37251-5
work_keys_str_mv AT magazzinocosimo thetrilemmaamongco2emissionsenergyuseandeconomicgrowthinrussia
AT melemarco thetrilemmaamongco2emissionsenergyuseandeconomicgrowthinrussia
AT dragocarlo thetrilemmaamongco2emissionsenergyuseandeconomicgrowthinrussia
AT kuskayasevda thetrilemmaamongco2emissionsenergyuseandeconomicgrowthinrussia
AT pozzicesare thetrilemmaamongco2emissionsenergyuseandeconomicgrowthinrussia
AT monarcaumberto thetrilemmaamongco2emissionsenergyuseandeconomicgrowthinrussia
AT magazzinocosimo trilemmaamongco2emissionsenergyuseandeconomicgrowthinrussia
AT melemarco trilemmaamongco2emissionsenergyuseandeconomicgrowthinrussia
AT dragocarlo trilemmaamongco2emissionsenergyuseandeconomicgrowthinrussia
AT kuskayasevda trilemmaamongco2emissionsenergyuseandeconomicgrowthinrussia
AT pozzicesare trilemmaamongco2emissionsenergyuseandeconomicgrowthinrussia
AT monarcaumberto trilemmaamongco2emissionsenergyuseandeconomicgrowthinrussia

Ejemplares similares