Metabolic Dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease and incident heart failure risk: the Kailuan cohort study

BACKGROUND: Recently, metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) has been proposed to replace non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) to emphasize the pathogenic association between fatty liver disease and metabolic dysfunction. Studies have found that MAFLD independently increases the risk of myocardial infarction and stroke. But the relationship between MAFLD and heart failure (HF) is not fully understood. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to explore the association between MAFLD and the risk of HF. METHODS: The study included 98,685 participants without HF selected from the Kailuan cohort in 2006. All participants were divided into non-MAFLD group and MAFLD group according to MAFLD diagnostic criteria. After follow-up until December 31, 2020, the Cox regression analysis model was used to calculate the effect of MAFLD on the risk of HF. RESULTS: During the median follow-up of 14.01 years,3260 cases of HF were defined, the HF incidence density of non-MAFLD group and MAFLD group was 2.19/1000pys and 3.29/1000pys, respectively. Compared with the non-MAFLD group, participants with MAFLD had an increased risk of HF (HR: 1.40, 95% CI: 1.30–1.50); in addition, an exacerbation of fatty liver disease was associated with an increased risk of HF in people with MAFLD. We also observed a higher risk of HF among the different metabolic dysfunction of MAFLD in people with both fatty liver disease and type 2 diabetes (HR, 1.95; 95% CI, 1.73–2.20). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that the risk of HF was significantly increased in participants with MAFLD, and an exacerbation of fatty liver disease was associated with an increased risk of HF in people with MAFLD. In addition, we should pay more attention to people with MAFLD with type 2 diabetes.