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COVID-19 dynamics and immune response: Linking within-host and between-host dynamics

The global impact of COVID-19 has led to the development of numerous mathematical models to understand and control the pandemic. However, these models have not fully captured how the disease’s dynamics are influenced by both within-host and between-host factors. To address this, a new mathematical m...

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Autores principales: Adewole, Matthew O., Faniran, Taye Samuel, Abdullah, Farah A., Ali, Majid K.M.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Published by Elsevier Ltd. 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10291298/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2023.113722
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author Adewole, Matthew O.
Faniran, Taye Samuel
Abdullah, Farah A.
Ali, Majid K.M.
author_facet Adewole, Matthew O.
Faniran, Taye Samuel
Abdullah, Farah A.
Ali, Majid K.M.
author_sort Adewole, Matthew O.
collection PubMed
description The global impact of COVID-19 has led to the development of numerous mathematical models to understand and control the pandemic. However, these models have not fully captured how the disease’s dynamics are influenced by both within-host and between-host factors. To address this, a new mathematical model is proposed that links these dynamics and incorporates immune response. The model is compartmentalized with a fractional derivative in the sense of Caputo–Fabrizio, and its properties are studied to show a unique solution. Parameter estimation is carried out by fitting real-life data, and sensitivity analysis is conducted using various methods. The model is then numerically implemented to demonstrate how the dynamics within infected hosts drive human-to-human transmission, and various intervention strategies are compared based on the percentage of averted deaths. The simulations suggest that a combination of medication to boost the immune system, prevent infected cells from producing the virus, and adherence to COVID-19 protocols is necessary to control the spread of the virus since no single intervention strategy is sufficient.
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spelling pubmed-102912982023-06-26 COVID-19 dynamics and immune response: Linking within-host and between-host dynamics Adewole, Matthew O. Faniran, Taye Samuel Abdullah, Farah A. Ali, Majid K.M. Chaos Solitons Fractals Article The global impact of COVID-19 has led to the development of numerous mathematical models to understand and control the pandemic. However, these models have not fully captured how the disease’s dynamics are influenced by both within-host and between-host factors. To address this, a new mathematical model is proposed that links these dynamics and incorporates immune response. The model is compartmentalized with a fractional derivative in the sense of Caputo–Fabrizio, and its properties are studied to show a unique solution. Parameter estimation is carried out by fitting real-life data, and sensitivity analysis is conducted using various methods. The model is then numerically implemented to demonstrate how the dynamics within infected hosts drive human-to-human transmission, and various intervention strategies are compared based on the percentage of averted deaths. The simulations suggest that a combination of medication to boost the immune system, prevent infected cells from producing the virus, and adherence to COVID-19 protocols is necessary to control the spread of the virus since no single intervention strategy is sufficient. Published by Elsevier Ltd. 2023-06-26 /pmc/articles/PMC10291298/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2023.113722 Text en © 2023 Published by Elsevier Ltd. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Adewole, Matthew O.
Faniran, Taye Samuel
Abdullah, Farah A.
Ali, Majid K.M.
COVID-19 dynamics and immune response: Linking within-host and between-host dynamics
title COVID-19 dynamics and immune response: Linking within-host and between-host dynamics
title_full COVID-19 dynamics and immune response: Linking within-host and between-host dynamics
title_fullStr COVID-19 dynamics and immune response: Linking within-host and between-host dynamics
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19 dynamics and immune response: Linking within-host and between-host dynamics
title_short COVID-19 dynamics and immune response: Linking within-host and between-host dynamics
title_sort covid-19 dynamics and immune response: linking within-host and between-host dynamics
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10291298/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2023.113722
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