Relative contributions of arterial stiffness to cardiovascular disease risk score in Chinese women in framingham and China-PAR model

BACKGROUND: Arterial stiffness played an important role in the development of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events. The aim of this study was to verify the relative importance of arterial stiffness for different CVD risk scores in a large sample of Chinese women. METHODS: We measured arterial velocity pulse index (AVI) and CVD risk scores in 2220 female participants (mean age 57 years). Framingham Risk Score (FRS), and the prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China (China-PAR) were used to estimate CVD risk, respectively. The relationships between AVI and risk scores were investigated by linear regressions and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis. To determine the relative importance of AVI in predicting CVD risk scores, random forest analysis was used. RESULTS: There was a significant positive correlation between AVI and FRS, China-PAR in all subgroup groups stratified by age, blood pressure and BMI. AVI showed higher importance in predicting CVD risk scores in FRS model, compared with these traditional risk factors. In China-PAR model, although AVI was not as predictive as SBP, it had better predictive power than many known risk factors such as lipids. Furthermore, AVI had significant J-shaped associations both with FRS and China-PAR scores. CONCLUSIONS: AVI was significantly associated with CVD risk score. In FRS and China-PAR model, AVI showed relatively high importance in predicting CVD risk scores. These findings may support the use of arterial stiffness measurements in CVD risk assessment.