Associations of longitudinal BMI percentile classification patterns in early childhood with neighborhood-level social determinants of health

BACKGROUND: Understanding social determinants of health (SDOH) that may be risk factors for childhood obesity is important to developing targeted interventions to prevent obesity. Prior studies have examined these risk factors, mostly examining obesity as a static outcome variable. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to identify distinct subpopulations based on BMI percentile classification or changes in BMI percentile classifications over time and explore these longitudinal associations with neighborhood-level SDOH factors in children from 0 to 7 years of age. METHODS: Using Latent Class Growth (Mixture) Modelling (LCGMM) we identify distinct BMI% classification groups in children from 0 to 7 years of age. We used multinomial logistic regression to study associations between SDOH factors with each BMI% classification group. RESULTS: From the study cohort of 36,910 children, five distinct BMI% classification groups emerged: always having obesity (n=429; 1.16%), overweight most of the time (n=15,006; 40.65%), increasing BMI% (n=9,060; 24.54%), decreasing BMI% (n=5,058; 13.70%), and always normal weight (n=7,357; 19.89%). Compared to children in the decreasing BMI% and always normal weight groups, children in the other three groups were more likely to live in neighborhoods with higher rates of poverty, unemployment, crowded households, and single-parent households, and lower rates of preschool enrollment. CONCLUSIONS: Neighborhood-level SDOH factors have significant associations with children’s BMI% classification and changes in classification over time. This highlights the need to develop tailored obesity interventions for different groups to address the barriers faced by communities that can impact the weight and health of the children living within them.