Left atrial appendage volume is an independent predictor of atrial arrhythmia recurrence following cryoballoon pulmonary vein isolation in persistent atrial fibrillation

PURPOSE: Pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is the cornerstone of atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation in persistent AF (persAF), and cryoballoon PVI emerged as an initial ablation strategy. Symptomatic atrial arrhythmia recurrence following successful PVI in persAF is observed more frequently than in paroxysmal AF. Predictors for arrhythmia recurrence following cryoballoon PVI for persAF are not well described, and the role of left atrial appendage (LAA) anatomy is uncertain. METHODS: Patients with symptomatic persAF and pre-procedural cardiac computed tomography angiography (CCTA) images undergoing initial second-generation cryoballoon (CBG2) were enrolled. Left atrial (LA), pulmonary vein (PV) and LAA anatomical data were assessed. Clinical outcome and predictors for atrial arrhythmia recurrence were evaluated by univariate and multivariate regression analysis. RESULTS: From May 2012 to September 2016, 488 consecutive persAF patients underwent CBG2-PVI. CCTA with sufficient quality for measurements was available in 196 (60.4%) patients. Mean age was 65.7 ± 9.5 years. Freedom from arrhythmia was 58.2% after a median follow-up of 19 (13; 29) months. No major complications occurred. Independent predictors for arrhythmia recurrence were LAA volume (HR 1.082; 95% CI, 1.032 to 1.134; p = 0.001) and mitral regurgitation ≥ grade 2 (HR, 2.49; 95% CI 1.207 to 5.126; p = 0.013). LA volumes ≥110.35 ml [sensitivity: 0.81, specificity: 0.40, area under the curve (AUC) = 0.62] and LAA volumes ≥9.75 ml (sensitivity: 0.56, specificity 0.70, AUC = 0.64) were associated with recurrence. LAA-morphology, classified as chicken-wing (21.9%), windsock (52.6%), cactus (10.2%) and cauliflower (15.3%), did not predict outcome (log-rank, p = 0.832). CONCLUSION: LAA volume and mitral regurgitation were independent predictors for arrhythmia recurrence following cryoballoon ablation in persAF. LA volume was less predictive and correlated with LAA volume. LAA morphology did not predict the clinical outcome. To improve outcomes in persAF ablation, further studies should focus on treatment strategies for persAF patients with large LAA and mitral regurgitation.