Predictive Factors for Lower Limb Amputation in Type 2 Diabetics

Introduction: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a major public health problem. Foot-related complications are common in diabetic patients. The aim of this study is to identify predictive factors for lower limb amputation (LLA) in order to better identify this at-risk population. Methods: This was a cross-sectional study involving 134 patients who were hospitalised for the management of T2DM complicated by diabetic foot, in the department of endocrinology and diabetology. We included patients with T2DM whose diabetes was diagnosed 10 years ago or more, and who had a diabetic foot problem. Statistical differences between predictors of amputations were tested using: t-tests for numerical variables and chi-square tests for categorical variables. Significant variables were analysed by logistic regression to determine significant predictors. Results: The mean duration of diabetes was 17±7 years. We found that 70% of patients with LLA were older than 50 years (p<10-3). The prevalence of LLA was higher (p=0.015) in patients with diabetes for more than 20 years. We noted that 58% of patients who underwent LLA were hypertensive (p<10-3). The majority of patients with LLA (58%) had abnormal micro-albuminuria (p<10-3). We found that 70% (n=12) of patients with LLA had low-density protein cholesterol levels above the target value (p<10(-3)). Diabetic foot grade ≥4 (4 or 5) according to Wagner's classification, was present in 24% of amputee patients. Based on a 95% confidence interval level, the independent significant predictive factors for LLA in our patients were: T2DM for more than 20 years, hypertension and diabetic foot grade ≥4. Conclusions: After multivariate analysis, the significant independent predictive factors associated with LLA were: T2DM for more than 20 years, hypertension, and diabetic foot grade ≥4. Early management of diabetic foot problems is therefore recommended to avoid amputations.