Risk assessment for postoperative venous thromboembolism using the modified Caprini risk assessment model in lung cancer

BACKGROUND: Postoperative venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a well-documented cause of morbidity and mortality in lung cancer patients. However, risk identification remains limited. In this study, we sought to analyze the risk factors for VTE and verify the predictive value of the modified Caprini risk assessment model (RAM). METHODS: This prospective single-center study included patients with resectable lung cancer who underwent resection between October 2019 and March 2021. The incidence of VTE was estimated. Logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors for VTE. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to test the ability of the modified Caprini RAM to predict VTE. RESULTS: The VTE incidence was 10.5%. Several variables, including age, D-dimer, hemoglobin (Hb), bleeding, and patient confinement to bed were significantly associated with VTE after surgery. The difference between the VTE and non-VTE groups in the high-risk levels was statistically significant (P<0.001), while the low and moderate risk levels showed no significant difference. The combined use of the modified Caprini score and the Hb and D-dimer levels showed an area under the curve (AUC) was 0.822 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.760–0.855. P<0.001]. CONCLUSIONS: The risk-stratification approach of the modified Caprini RAM is not particularly valid after lung resection in our population. The use of the modified Caprini RAM combined with Hb and D-dimer levels shows a good diagnostic performance for VTE prediction in patients with lung cancer undergoing resection.