Proteomic profiling of longitudinal changes in kidney function among middle-aged and older men and women: the KORA S4/F4/FF4 study

BACKGROUND: Due to the asymptomatic nature of the early stages, chronic kidney disease (CKD) is usually diagnosed at late stages and lacks targeted therapy, highlighting the need for new biomarkers to better understand its pathophysiology and to be used for early diagnosis and therapeutic targets. Given the close relationship between CKD and cardiovascular disease (CVD), we investigated the associations of 233 CVD- and inflammation-related plasma proteins with kidney function decline and aimed to assess whether the observed associations are causal. METHODS: We included 1140 participants, aged 55–74 years at baseline, from the Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg (KORA) cohort study, with a median follow-up time of 13.4 years and 2 follow-up visits. We measured 233 plasma proteins using a proximity extension assay at baseline. In the discovery analysis, linear regression models were used to estimate the associations of 233 proteins with the annual rate of change in creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcr). We further investigated the association of eGFRcr-associated proteins with the annual rate of change in cystatin C-based eGFR (eGFRcys) and eGFRcr-based incident CKD. Two-sample Mendelian randomization was used to infer causality. RESULTS: In the fully adjusted model, 66 out of 233 proteins were inversely associated with the annual rate of change in eGFRcr, indicating that higher baseline protein levels were associated with faster eGFRcr decline. Among these 66 proteins, 21 proteins were associated with both the annual rate of change in eGFRcys and incident CKD. Mendelian randomization analyses on these 21 proteins suggest a potential causal association of higher tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11A (TNFRSF11A) level with eGFR decline. CONCLUSIONS: We reported 21 proteins associated with kidney function decline and incident CKD and provided preliminary evidence suggesting a potential causal association between TNFRSF11A and kidney function decline. Further Mendelian randomization studies are needed to establish a conclusive causal association. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12916-023-02962-z.