Real-world analysis of first-line afatinib in patients with EGFR-mutant non-small cell lung cancer and brain metastasis: survival and prognostic factors

BACKGROUND: Overall survival (OS) in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and brain metastases (BMs) is poor. We aimed to identify prognostic factors and ascertain treatment outcomes of first-line afatinib for patients with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-mutant NSCLC with BM in a real-world setting. METHODS: This retrospective observational study reviewed electronic records of patients with EGFR-mutant NSCLC who received first-line afatinib treatment between October 2014 and October 2019 in 16 hospitals across South Korea. The Kaplan-Meier method estimated time on treatment (TOT) and OS; multivariate analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards (PH) models. RESULTS: Among 703 patients who received first-line afatinib, 262 (37.3%) had baseline BM. Of 441 patients without baseline BM, 92 (20.9%) developed central nervous system (CNS) failure. Compared with patients without CNS failure, those with CNS failure during afatinib treatment were younger (P=0.012), had a higher Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS) (P<0.001), increased metastatic site involvement (P<0.001), advanced stage disease (P<0.001), with liver metastasis (P=0.008) and/or bone metastasis (P<0.001) at baseline. Cumulative incidence of CNS failure in years 1, 2 and 3 was 10.1%, 21.5% and 30.0%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, cumulative incidence was significantly higher in patients with ECOG PS ≥2 (P<0.001), uncommon EGFR mutations (P=0.001), and no baseline pleural metastasis (P=0.017). Median TOT was 16.0 months (95% CI: 14.8–17.2) and, in patients with CNS failure, without CNS failure, and with baseline BM was 12.2, 18.9, and 14.1 months, respectively (P<0.001). Median OS was 52.9 months (95% CI: 45.4–60.3) and, in patients with CNS failure, without CNS failure, and with baseline BM was 29.1, 67.3 and 48.5 months, respectively (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: First-line afatinib in the real-world setting showed clinically meaningful effectiveness in patients with EGFR-mutant NSCLC and BM. CNS failure was a poor prognostic factor for TOT and OS correlating with younger age, poor ECOG PS, higher metastatic number, advanced disease stage, uncommon EGFR mutations, and baseline liver and/or bone metastases.