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Older People Living Alone: A Predictive Model of Fall Risk
Falls in older people are a result of a combination of multiple risk factors. There are few studies involving predictive models in a community context. The aim of this study was to determine the validation of a new model for predicting fall risk in older adults (65+) living alone in community dwelli...
Autores principales: | , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
MDPI
2023
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10341723/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37444131 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph20136284 |
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author | Lage, Isabel Braga, Fátima Almendra, Manuela Meneses, Filipe Teixeira, Laetitia Araújo, Odete |
author_facet | Lage, Isabel Braga, Fátima Almendra, Manuela Meneses, Filipe Teixeira, Laetitia Araújo, Odete |
author_sort | Lage, Isabel |
collection | PubMed |
description | Falls in older people are a result of a combination of multiple risk factors. There are few studies involving predictive models in a community context. The aim of this study was to determine the validation of a new model for predicting fall risk in older adults (65+) living alone in community dwellings (n = 186; n = 117) with a test–retest reliability study. We consider in the predictive model the significant factors emerged from the bivariate analysis: age, zone, social community resources, physical exercise, self-perception of health, difficulty to keep standing, difficulty to sit and get up from a chair, strain to see, use of technical devices, hypertension and number of medications. The final model explained 28.5% of the risk of falling in older adults living alone in community dwellings. The AUC = 0.660 (se = 0.065, IC 95% 0.533–0.787, p = 0.017). The predictive model developed revealed a satisfactory discriminatory performance of the model and can contribute to clinical practice, with respect to the evaluation of risk of falling in this frailty group and preventing falls. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-10341723 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | MDPI |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-103417232023-07-14 Older People Living Alone: A Predictive Model of Fall Risk Lage, Isabel Braga, Fátima Almendra, Manuela Meneses, Filipe Teixeira, Laetitia Araújo, Odete Int J Environ Res Public Health Article Falls in older people are a result of a combination of multiple risk factors. There are few studies involving predictive models in a community context. The aim of this study was to determine the validation of a new model for predicting fall risk in older adults (65+) living alone in community dwellings (n = 186; n = 117) with a test–retest reliability study. We consider in the predictive model the significant factors emerged from the bivariate analysis: age, zone, social community resources, physical exercise, self-perception of health, difficulty to keep standing, difficulty to sit and get up from a chair, strain to see, use of technical devices, hypertension and number of medications. The final model explained 28.5% of the risk of falling in older adults living alone in community dwellings. The AUC = 0.660 (se = 0.065, IC 95% 0.533–0.787, p = 0.017). The predictive model developed revealed a satisfactory discriminatory performance of the model and can contribute to clinical practice, with respect to the evaluation of risk of falling in this frailty group and preventing falls. MDPI 2023-07-03 /pmc/articles/PMC10341723/ /pubmed/37444131 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph20136284 Text en © 2023 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). |
spellingShingle | Article Lage, Isabel Braga, Fátima Almendra, Manuela Meneses, Filipe Teixeira, Laetitia Araújo, Odete Older People Living Alone: A Predictive Model of Fall Risk |
title | Older People Living Alone: A Predictive Model of Fall Risk |
title_full | Older People Living Alone: A Predictive Model of Fall Risk |
title_fullStr | Older People Living Alone: A Predictive Model of Fall Risk |
title_full_unstemmed | Older People Living Alone: A Predictive Model of Fall Risk |
title_short | Older People Living Alone: A Predictive Model of Fall Risk |
title_sort | older people living alone: a predictive model of fall risk |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10341723/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37444131 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph20136284 |
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