Cargando…

Sustained and Universal Fertility Recuperation in Kazakhstan

The fertility rates of Kazakhstan have reversed to levels not seen for several decades. The striking fertility increase poses questions regarding the extent to which this new development is shared across socio-demographic groups and the nature of fertility recuperation. The current study employs UNI...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Kan, Maxim
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Netherlands 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10344851/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37440003
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10680-023-09671-6
_version_ 1785072952361877504
author Kan, Maxim
author_facet Kan, Maxim
author_sort Kan, Maxim
collection PubMed
description The fertility rates of Kazakhstan have reversed to levels not seen for several decades. The striking fertility increase poses questions regarding the extent to which this new development is shared across socio-demographic groups and the nature of fertility recuperation. The current study employs UNICEF Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey data and event-history modelling to analyse parity progressions to one, two, three, and four children. The results suggest a sustained fertility increase that is not merely associated with the recuperation of delayed first births, but a genuine increase across all birth orders. This pattern is evident for both main ethnicities in Kazakhstan and across educational groups. The gradual increase of higher-order births, especially among ethnic Kazakhs, indicates a reversed fertility transition and also that the previous fertility decline in the 1990s was not part of a general transition towards below-replacement fertility but rather a reflection of economic crisis after the collapse of the Soviet Union.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-10344851
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2023
publisher Springer Netherlands
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-103448512023-07-15 Sustained and Universal Fertility Recuperation in Kazakhstan Kan, Maxim Eur J Popul Original Research The fertility rates of Kazakhstan have reversed to levels not seen for several decades. The striking fertility increase poses questions regarding the extent to which this new development is shared across socio-demographic groups and the nature of fertility recuperation. The current study employs UNICEF Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey data and event-history modelling to analyse parity progressions to one, two, three, and four children. The results suggest a sustained fertility increase that is not merely associated with the recuperation of delayed first births, but a genuine increase across all birth orders. This pattern is evident for both main ethnicities in Kazakhstan and across educational groups. The gradual increase of higher-order births, especially among ethnic Kazakhs, indicates a reversed fertility transition and also that the previous fertility decline in the 1990s was not part of a general transition towards below-replacement fertility but rather a reflection of economic crisis after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Springer Netherlands 2023-07-13 /pmc/articles/PMC10344851/ /pubmed/37440003 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10680-023-09671-6 Text en © The Author(s) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Original Research
Kan, Maxim
Sustained and Universal Fertility Recuperation in Kazakhstan
title Sustained and Universal Fertility Recuperation in Kazakhstan
title_full Sustained and Universal Fertility Recuperation in Kazakhstan
title_fullStr Sustained and Universal Fertility Recuperation in Kazakhstan
title_full_unstemmed Sustained and Universal Fertility Recuperation in Kazakhstan
title_short Sustained and Universal Fertility Recuperation in Kazakhstan
title_sort sustained and universal fertility recuperation in kazakhstan
topic Original Research
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10344851/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37440003
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10680-023-09671-6
work_keys_str_mv AT kanmaxim sustainedanduniversalfertilityrecuperationinkazakhstan