A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Optimized CMV Preemptive Therapy and Antiviral Prophylaxis for CMV Disease Prevention in CMV High-Risk (D+R-) Kidney Transplant Recipients

The optimal strategy for cytomegalovirus (CMV) disease prevention in CMV donor/recipient kidney transplant recipients remains uncertain. Conclusions of prior meta-analyses that CMV disease rates with preemptive therapy (PET) and universal prophylaxis (UP) were comparable may have been affected by inclusion of studies lacking key determinants of efficacy of the respective strategies. METHODS. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of PET with weekly CMV polymerase chain reaction monitoring for ≥3 mo and UP with 6 mo of valganciclovir. PubMed and Embase databases were reviewed from January 1, 2010, to April 1, 2022. Risk of bias was assessed with 3 instruments (Cochrane RoB, Cochrane RoBINS-I, and an instrument for assessing risk in observational studies). The primary outcome was CMV disease incidence by 1-y posttransplant. Secondary outcomes by 1-y were graft loss, acute allograft rejection, and mortality. Results were synthesized using generalized linear mixed model meta-analysis. PET studies were stratified into low-threshold (LT) and high-threshold (HT) PET based on the viral load threshold for initiation of antiviral therapy. RESULTS. Twenty-five studies met inclusion criteria (6 PET, 19 UP). CMV disease incidence was significantly higher in HT (0.30 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.22-0.39]) versus LT PET (0.06 [95% CI, 0.03-0.12]). LT PET was associated with a significantly lower CMV disease incidence (0.06 [95% CI, 0.03-0.12]) versus UP (0.21 [95% CI, 0.17-0.27]). Incidence of graft loss, acute allograft rejection, or mortality was not significantly different between LT PET and UP (P > 0.05 for all comparisons). Receipt of lymphocyte-depleting antibodies was not associated with a significant difference in CMV disease incidence (odds ratio = 1.34 [95% CI, 0.80-2.25]). CONCLUSIONS. LT PET is associated with a significantly lower incidence of CMV disease compared to UP with similar rates of other clinical outcomes. These findings provide rationale and preliminary data for a randomized superiority trial of optimized LT-PET versus UP in donor seropositive recipient seronegative kidney transplant recipients.