Seasonal patterns in trace elements assessed in toenails

Seasonal patterns in measured exposure biomarkers can cause measurement error in epidemiological studies. There is little known about the seasonality of trace elements when measured in toenails. Adjusting for such patterns when estimating associations between long-term exposures and health outcomes could be needed to improve precision and reduce bias. Our goal was to assess seasonal patterns in toenail measurements of trace elements. At enrollment, Sister Study participants, who were US residents, removed polish and collected toenail clippings, which were cleaned before analysis. We measured: iron, vanadium, aluminum, chromium, manganese, cobalt, nickel, copper, zinc, arsenic, selenium, molybdenum, cadmium, tin, antimony, mercury, and lead. For a sample of the cohort we fit trigonometric regression models with toenail element measures as the outcome, using sine and cosine functions of the collection day of the year (transformed to an angle) to assess seasonality. Results were replicated in a second sample of women, with measurements done in a separate lab. There was a seasonal association between day of collection and toenail measures for iron, aluminum, vanadium, chromium, manganese, cobalt, arsenic, molybdenum, cadmium, tin, and lead, all of which peaked near mid-August. Seasonal patterns were concordant across the two samples of women. Given the evidence supporting seasonal patterns for 11 of the 17 elements measured in toenails, correcting for seasonality of toenail levels of those trace elements in models estimating the association between those exposures and health outcomes is important. The basis for higher concentrations in toenails collected during the summer remains unknown.