Preoperative prediction of extrathyroidal extension: radiomics signature based on multimodal ultrasound to papillary thyroid carcinoma

BACKGROUND: There is a recognized need for additional approaches to improve the accuracy of extrathyroidal extension (ETE) diagnosis in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) before surgery. Up to now, multimodal ultrasound has been widely applied in disease diagnosis. We investigated the value of radiomic features extracted from multimodal ultrasound in the preoperative prediction of ETE. METHODS: We retrospectively pathologically confirmed PTC lesions in 235 patients from January 2019 to April 2022 in our hospital, including 45 ETE lesions and 205 non-ETE lesions. MaZda software was employed to obtain radiomics parameters in multimodal sonography. The most valuable radiomics features were selected by the Fisher coefficient, mutual information, probability of classification error and average correlation coefficient methods (F + MI + PA) in combination with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method. Finally, the multimodal model was developed by incorporating the clinical records and radiomics features through fivefold cross-validation with a linear support vector machine algorithm. The predictive performance was evaluated by sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, F1 scores and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in the training and test sets. RESULTS: A total of 5972 radiomics features were extracted from multimodal sonography, and the 13 most valuable radiomics features were selected from the training set using the F + MI + PA method combined with LASSO regression. The multimodal prediction model yielded AUCs of 0.911 (95% CI 0.866–0.957) and 0.716 (95% CI 0.522–0.910) in the cross-validation and test sets, respectively. The multimodal model and radiomics model showed good discrimination between ETE and non-ETE lesions. CONCLUSION: Radiomics features based on multimodal ultrasonography could play a promising role in detecting ETE before surgery. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12880-023-01049-8.