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Prediction of sea ice area based on the CEEMDAN-SO-BiLSTM model

This article proposes a combined prediction model based on a bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) neural network optimized by the snake optimizer (SO) under complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise. First, complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptiv...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Guo, Qiao, Zhang, Haoyu, Zhang, Yuhao, Jiang, Xuchu
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: PeerJ Inc. 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10362850/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37483978
http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj.15748
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author Guo, Qiao
Zhang, Haoyu
Zhang, Yuhao
Jiang, Xuchu
author_facet Guo, Qiao
Zhang, Haoyu
Zhang, Yuhao
Jiang, Xuchu
author_sort Guo, Qiao
collection PubMed
description This article proposes a combined prediction model based on a bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) neural network optimized by the snake optimizer (SO) under complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise. First, complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) was used to decompose the sea ice area time series data into a series of eigenmodes and perform noise reduction to enhance the stationarity and smoothness of the time series. Second, this article used a bidirectional long short-term memory neural network optimized by the snake optimizer to fully exploit the characteristics of each eigenmode of the time series to achieve the prediction of each. Finally, the predicted values of each mode are superimposed and reconstructed as the final prediction values. Our model achieves a good score of RMSE: 1.047, MAE: 0.815, and SMAPE: 3.938 on the test set.
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spelling pubmed-103628502023-07-23 Prediction of sea ice area based on the CEEMDAN-SO-BiLSTM model Guo, Qiao Zhang, Haoyu Zhang, Yuhao Jiang, Xuchu PeerJ Computational Science This article proposes a combined prediction model based on a bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) neural network optimized by the snake optimizer (SO) under complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise. First, complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) was used to decompose the sea ice area time series data into a series of eigenmodes and perform noise reduction to enhance the stationarity and smoothness of the time series. Second, this article used a bidirectional long short-term memory neural network optimized by the snake optimizer to fully exploit the characteristics of each eigenmode of the time series to achieve the prediction of each. Finally, the predicted values of each mode are superimposed and reconstructed as the final prediction values. Our model achieves a good score of RMSE: 1.047, MAE: 0.815, and SMAPE: 3.938 on the test set. PeerJ Inc. 2023-07-19 /pmc/articles/PMC10362850/ /pubmed/37483978 http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj.15748 Text en ©2023 Guo et al. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, reproduction and adaptation in any medium and for any purpose provided that it is properly attributed. For attribution, the original author(s), title, publication source (PeerJ) and either DOI or URL of the article must be cited.
spellingShingle Computational Science
Guo, Qiao
Zhang, Haoyu
Zhang, Yuhao
Jiang, Xuchu
Prediction of sea ice area based on the CEEMDAN-SO-BiLSTM model
title Prediction of sea ice area based on the CEEMDAN-SO-BiLSTM model
title_full Prediction of sea ice area based on the CEEMDAN-SO-BiLSTM model
title_fullStr Prediction of sea ice area based on the CEEMDAN-SO-BiLSTM model
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of sea ice area based on the CEEMDAN-SO-BiLSTM model
title_short Prediction of sea ice area based on the CEEMDAN-SO-BiLSTM model
title_sort prediction of sea ice area based on the ceemdan-so-bilstm model
topic Computational Science
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10362850/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37483978
http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj.15748
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