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Towards diverse agricultural land uses: socio-ecological implications of European agricultural pathways for a Swiss orchard region

Diverse agricultural land uses are a typical feature of multifunctional landscapes. The uncertain change in the drivers of global land use, such as climate, market and policy technology and demography, challenges the long-term management of agricultural diversification. As these global drivers also...

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Autores principales: Nishizawa, Takamasa, Kay, Sonja, Schuler, Johannes, Klein, Noëlle, Conradt, Tobias, Mielewczik, Michael, Herzog, Felix, Aurbacher, Joachim, Zander, Peter
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10363045/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37489177
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-023-02092-5
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author Nishizawa, Takamasa
Kay, Sonja
Schuler, Johannes
Klein, Noëlle
Conradt, Tobias
Mielewczik, Michael
Herzog, Felix
Aurbacher, Joachim
Zander, Peter
author_facet Nishizawa, Takamasa
Kay, Sonja
Schuler, Johannes
Klein, Noëlle
Conradt, Tobias
Mielewczik, Michael
Herzog, Felix
Aurbacher, Joachim
Zander, Peter
author_sort Nishizawa, Takamasa
collection PubMed
description Diverse agricultural land uses are a typical feature of multifunctional landscapes. The uncertain change in the drivers of global land use, such as climate, market and policy technology and demography, challenges the long-term management of agricultural diversification. As these global drivers also affect smaller scales, it is important to capture the traits of regionally specific farm activities to facilitate adaptation to change. By downscaling European shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) for agricultural and food systems, combined with representative concentration pathways (RCP) to regionally specific, alternative socioeconomic and climate scenarios, the present study explores the major impacts of the drivers of global land use on regional agriculture by simulating farm-level decisions and identifies the socio-ecological implications for promoting diverse agricultural landscapes in 2050. A hilly orchard region in northern Switzerland was chosen as a case study to represent the multifunctional nature of Swiss agriculture. Results show that the different regionalised pathways lead to contrasting impacts on orchard meadows, production levels and biodiversity. Increased financial support for ecological measures, adequate farm labour supplies for more labour-intensive farming and consumer preferences that favour local farm produce can offset the negative impacts of climate change and commodity prices and contribute to agricultural diversification and farmland biodiversity. However, these conditions also caused a significant decline in farm production levels. This study suggests that considering a broader set of land use drivers beyond direct payments, while acknowledging potential trade-offs and diverse impacts across different farm types, is required to effectively manage and sustain diversified agricultural landscapes in the long run. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10113-023-02092-5.
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spelling pubmed-103630452023-07-24 Towards diverse agricultural land uses: socio-ecological implications of European agricultural pathways for a Swiss orchard region Nishizawa, Takamasa Kay, Sonja Schuler, Johannes Klein, Noëlle Conradt, Tobias Mielewczik, Michael Herzog, Felix Aurbacher, Joachim Zander, Peter Reg Environ Change Original Article Diverse agricultural land uses are a typical feature of multifunctional landscapes. The uncertain change in the drivers of global land use, such as climate, market and policy technology and demography, challenges the long-term management of agricultural diversification. As these global drivers also affect smaller scales, it is important to capture the traits of regionally specific farm activities to facilitate adaptation to change. By downscaling European shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) for agricultural and food systems, combined with representative concentration pathways (RCP) to regionally specific, alternative socioeconomic and climate scenarios, the present study explores the major impacts of the drivers of global land use on regional agriculture by simulating farm-level decisions and identifies the socio-ecological implications for promoting diverse agricultural landscapes in 2050. A hilly orchard region in northern Switzerland was chosen as a case study to represent the multifunctional nature of Swiss agriculture. Results show that the different regionalised pathways lead to contrasting impacts on orchard meadows, production levels and biodiversity. Increased financial support for ecological measures, adequate farm labour supplies for more labour-intensive farming and consumer preferences that favour local farm produce can offset the negative impacts of climate change and commodity prices and contribute to agricultural diversification and farmland biodiversity. However, these conditions also caused a significant decline in farm production levels. This study suggests that considering a broader set of land use drivers beyond direct payments, while acknowledging potential trade-offs and diverse impacts across different farm types, is required to effectively manage and sustain diversified agricultural landscapes in the long run. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10113-023-02092-5. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2023-07-22 2023 /pmc/articles/PMC10363045/ /pubmed/37489177 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-023-02092-5 Text en © The Author(s) 2023, corrected publication 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Original Article
Nishizawa, Takamasa
Kay, Sonja
Schuler, Johannes
Klein, Noëlle
Conradt, Tobias
Mielewczik, Michael
Herzog, Felix
Aurbacher, Joachim
Zander, Peter
Towards diverse agricultural land uses: socio-ecological implications of European agricultural pathways for a Swiss orchard region
title Towards diverse agricultural land uses: socio-ecological implications of European agricultural pathways for a Swiss orchard region
title_full Towards diverse agricultural land uses: socio-ecological implications of European agricultural pathways for a Swiss orchard region
title_fullStr Towards diverse agricultural land uses: socio-ecological implications of European agricultural pathways for a Swiss orchard region
title_full_unstemmed Towards diverse agricultural land uses: socio-ecological implications of European agricultural pathways for a Swiss orchard region
title_short Towards diverse agricultural land uses: socio-ecological implications of European agricultural pathways for a Swiss orchard region
title_sort towards diverse agricultural land uses: socio-ecological implications of european agricultural pathways for a swiss orchard region
topic Original Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10363045/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37489177
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-023-02092-5
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