Development of hepatocellular carcinoma in treated and untreated patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is responsible for more than 50% of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in HBV hyperendemic areas, such as the Asia-Pacific region. Several hepatitis B viral factors are involved in HBV-related hepatocarcinogenesis. Hepatitis B viral load is the most important risk factor of HCC development. In addition, HBV integration, HBV genotype C, and core-promoter mutations are also associated with a risk of HCC development. For untreated chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients, the estimated HCC incidence rates per 100 patient-years were 0.03–0.17 in inactive carriers, 0.07–0.42 in asymptomatic carriers, 0.12–0.49 in chronic hepatitis, and 2.03–3.37 in cirrhosis. Complementary to HBV DNA, serum levels of the hepatitis B surface antigen and hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) can predict the occurrence of HCC for untreated patients with low and intermediate viral loads, respectively. For patients receiving antiviral therapy, the risks of HCC occurrence 40–60% lower than those for untreated patients. Patients treated with residual detectable HBV DNA or intrahepatic cccDNA still have a risk of HCC. Serum levels of HBcrAg, M2BPGi and fibrosis-4 are predictive of the risk of HCC development in treated patients. Several well-developed HCC risk scores can help clinicians identify high-risk CHB patients for HCC surveillance, regardless of treatment status. These strategies can help minimize the threat of HCC and prolong survival in CHB patients.