An MRI-based radiomics nomogram for differentiating spinal metastases from multiple myeloma

BACKGROUND: Spinal metastasis and multiple myeloma share many overlapping conventional radiographic imaging characteristics, thus, their differentiation may be challenging. The purpose of this study was to develop and validate an MRI-based radiomics nomogram for the differentiation of spinal metastasis and multiple myeloma. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 312 patients (training set: n = 146, validation set: n = 65, our center; external test set: n = 101, two other centers) with spinal metastasis (n = 196) and multiple myeloma (n = 116) were retrospectively enrolled. Demographics and MRI findings were assessed to build a clinical factor model. Radiomics features were extracted from MRI images. A radiomics model was constructed by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method. A radiomics nomogram combining the radiomics signature and independent clinical factors was constructed. And, one experienced radiologist reviewed the MRI images for all case. The diagnostic performance of the different models was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curves. RESULTS: A clinical factors model was built based on heterogeneous appearance and shape. Twenty-one features were used to build the radiomics signature. The area under the curve (AUC) values of the radiomics nomogram (0.853 and 0.762, respectively) were significantly higher than that of the clinical factor model (0.692 and 0.540, respectively) in both validation (p = 0.048) and external test (p < 0.001) sets. The AUC values of the radiomics nomogram model were higher than that of radiologist in training, validation and external test sets (all p < 0.05). Moreover, no significant difference in AUC values of radiomics nomogram model was found between the validation set and external test set (p = 0.212). CONCLUSION: The radiomics nomogram can differentiate spinal metastasis and multiple myeloma with a moderate to good performance, and may be as a valuable method to assist in the clinical diagnosis and preoperative decision-making. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40644-023-00585-4.