Nomogram incorporating potent inflammatory indicators for overall survival estimation of patients with primary oral squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND: Inflammation has been recognized to be a factor that substantially influences tumorigenesis and tumor prognosis. Hence, this study was aimed to investigate an inflammatory marker with the most potent prognostic ability and to evaluate the survival estimation capability of dynamic change in this marker for patients suffered from oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). METHODS: 469 patients’ inflammatory indicators including lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI), were calculated. Their predictive abilities for overall survival (OS) were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier curves to screen for the one with the most potent prognostic value. The predictive ability of dynamic changes in this marker was verified and a predictive nomogram incorporating inflammatory indicators was developed. RESULTS: A high LMR was identified to be an indicator of a satisfactory survival rate. Compared with that of other inflammatory markers, area under the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve (AUC) of LMR for 1-year and 3-year OS was significantly larger (P<0.001). Dynamic LMR change remained an significant parameter for predicting OS (OR: 2.492, 95% CI: 1.246–4.981, p = 0.010). The nomogram incorporating LMR exhibited a superior prognostic significance than the TNM system, as suggested by the C-index (0.776 vs 0.651 in primary cohort; 0.800 vs 0.707 in validation cohort, P<0.001) and AUC. CONCLUSIONS: LMR was demonstrated to possess a more potent survival estimation capability than the other three inflammatory parameters. Dynamic changes in LMR serves as a significant parameter for overall survival estimation of primary OSCC patients. The established nomogram incorporating inflammatory markers showed more accuracy and sensitivity for survival estimation of primary OSCC patients.