Circulatory HMGB1 is an early predictive and prognostic biomarker of ARDS and mortality in a swine model of polytrauma

Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in polytrauma patients. Pharmacological treatments of ARDS are lacking, and ARDS patients rely on supportive care. Accurate diagnosis of ARDS is vital for early intervention and improved outcomes but is presently delayed up to days. The use of biomarkers for early identification of ARDS development is a potential solution. Inflammatory mediators high-mobility group box 1 (HMGB1), syndecan-1 (SDC-1), and C3a have been previously proposed as potential biomarkers. For this study, we analyzed these biomarkers in animals undergoing smoke inhalation and 40% total body surface area burns, followed by intensive care for 72 h post-injury (PI) to determine their association with ARDS and mortality. We found that the levels of inflammatory mediators in serum were affected, as well as the degree of HMGB1 and Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4) signal activation in the lung. The results showed significantly increased HMGB1 expression levels in animals that developed ARDS compared with those that did not. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis showed that HMGB1 levels at 6 h PI were significantly associated with ARDS development (AUROC=0.77) and mortality (AUROC=0.82). Logistic regression analysis revealed that levels of HMGB1 ≥24.10 ng/ml are associated with a 13-fold higher incidence of ARDS [OR:13.57 (2.76–104.3)], whereas the levels of HMGB1 ≥31.39 ng/ml are associated with a 12-fold increase in mortality [OR: 12.00 (2.36–93.47)]. In addition, we found that mesenchymal stem cell (MSC) therapeutic treatment led to a significant decrease in systemic HMGB1 elevation but failed to block SDC-1 and C3a increases. Immunohistochemistry analyses showed that smoke inhalation and burn injury induced the expression of HMGB1 and TLR4 and stimulated co-localization of HMGB1 and TLR4 in the lung. Interestingly, MSC treatment reduced the presence of HMGB1, TLR4, and the HMGB1-TLR4 co-localization. These results show that serum HMGB1 is a prognostic biomarker for predicting the incidence of ARDS and mortality in swine with smoke inhalation and burn injury. Therapeutically blocking HMGB1 signal activation might be an effective approach for attenuating ARDS development in combat casualties or civilian patients.