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Unifying incidence and prevalence under a time-varying general branching process

Renewal equations are a popular approach used in modelling the number of new infections, i.e., incidence, in an outbreak. We develop a stochastic model of an outbreak based on a time-varying variant of the Crump–Mode–Jagers branching process. This model accommodates a time-varying reproduction numbe...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Pakkanen, Mikko S., Miscouridou, Xenia, Penn, Matthew J., Whittaker, Charles, Berah, Tresnia, Mishra, Swapnil, Mellan, Thomas A., Bhatt, Samir
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10393927/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37526739
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-023-01958-w