Hierarchical Development of Physical Frailty and Cognitive Impairment and Their Association With Incident Cardiovascular Disease

BACKGROUND: Frailty and cognitive impairment (CI) are geriatric conditions that lead to poor health outcomes among older adults with cardiovascular disease. The association between their temporal patterns of development and cardiovascular risk is unknown. OBJECTIVES: This study aims to examine the 5-year cardiovascular outcomes by the pattern of development of frailty and CI in older adults without a history of coronary artery disease. METHODS: We used the National Health and Aging Trends Study, linked to Medicare data. Frailty was measured using the physical frailty phenotype. CI was measured using the AD8 Dementia Screening Interview, measured cognitive performance, or self-report by patient or caregiver for a diagnosis given by a physician. The primary outcome was incident major adverse cardiovascular event at 5 years. RESULTS: Of a total 2,189 study participants aged 65 and older, 38.5% were male. In this study population, 154 (7%) participants developed frailty first, 829 (38%) developed CI first, and 195 (9%) participants developed both simultaneously (frail-CI group). Those who developed frailty and CI simultaneously were older, more likely to be female, and had multiple chronic conditions. The frail-CI group had the highest risk of major adverse cardiovascular event (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.81; 95% CI: 1.47–2.23) followed by frail first (HR: 1.46; 95% CI: 1.17–1.81) and CI first (HR: 1.31; 95% CI: 1.15–1.50). Frailty first was associated with the greater risk of stroke (HR: 1.49; 95% CI: 1.06–2.09) compared to the intact group. CONCLUSIONS: The simultaneous development of frailty and CI is associated with an increased risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes including death compared with the development of each syndrome alone. Diagnostics to detect frailty and CI are critical in assessment of cardiovascular risk in the older population.