Novel scheme for defining the clinical implications of TP53 mutations in myeloid neoplasia

BACKGROUND: TP53 mutations (TP53(MT)) occur in diverse genomic configurations. Particularly, biallelic inactivation is associated with poor overall survival in cancer. Lesions affecting only one allele might not be directly leukemogenic, questioning the presence of cryptic biallelic subclones in cases with dismal prognosis. METHODS: We have collected clinical and molecular data of 7400 patients with myeloid neoplasms and applied a novel model by identifying an optimal VAF cutoff using a statistically robust strategy of sampling-based regression on survival data to accurately classify the TP53 allelic configuration and assess prognosis more precisely. RESULTS: Overall, TP53(MT) were found in 1010 patients. Following the traditional criteria, 36% of the cases were classified as single hits, while 64% exhibited double hits genomic configuration. Using a newly developed molecular algorithm, we found that 579 (57%) patients had unequivocally biallelic, 239 (24%) likely contained biallelic, and 192 (19%) had most likely monoallelic TP53(MT). Interestingly, our method was able to upstage 192 out of 352 (54.5%) traditionally single hit lesions into a probable biallelic category. Such classification was further substantiated by a survival-based model built after re-categorization. Among cases traditionally considered monoallelic, the overall survival of those with probable monoallelic mutations was similar to the one of wild-type patients and was better than that of patients with a biallelic configuration. As a result, patients with certain biallelic hits, regardless of the disease subtype (AML or MDS), had a similar prognosis. Similar results were observed when the model was applied to an external cohort. In addition, single-cell DNA studies unveiled the biallelic nature of previously considered monoallelic cases. CONCLUSION: Our novel approach more accurately resolves TP53 genomic configuration and uncovers genetic mosaicism for the use in the clinical setting to improve prognostic evaluation. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13045-023-01480-y.