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Epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and Monte Carlo numerical simulation algorithm

Building upon the foundational principles of the grid search algorithm and Monte Carlo numerical simulation, this article introduces an innovative epidemic monitoring and prevention plan. The plan offers the capability to accurately identify the sources of infectious diseases and predict the final s...

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Autores principales: Chen, Xin, Ning, Huijun, Guo, Liuwang, Diao, Dongming, Zhou, Xinru, Zhang, Xiaoliang
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: PeerJ Inc. 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10403190/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37547412
http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj-cs.1479
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author Chen, Xin
Ning, Huijun
Guo, Liuwang
Diao, Dongming
Zhou, Xinru
Zhang, Xiaoliang
author_facet Chen, Xin
Ning, Huijun
Guo, Liuwang
Diao, Dongming
Zhou, Xinru
Zhang, Xiaoliang
author_sort Chen, Xin
collection PubMed
description Building upon the foundational principles of the grid search algorithm and Monte Carlo numerical simulation, this article introduces an innovative epidemic monitoring and prevention plan. The plan offers the capability to accurately identify the sources of infectious diseases and predict the final scale and duration of the epidemic. The proposed plan is implemented in schools and society, utilizing computer simulation analysis. Through this analysis, the plan enables precise localization of infection sources for various demographic groups, with an error rate of less than 3%. Additionally, the plan allows for the estimation of the epidemic cycle duration, which typically spans around 14 days. Notably, higher population density enhances fault tolerance and prediction accuracy, resulting in smaller errors and more reliable simulation outcomes. Overall, this study provides highly valuable theoretical guidance for effective epidemic prevention and control efforts.
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spelling pubmed-104031902023-08-05 Epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and Monte Carlo numerical simulation algorithm Chen, Xin Ning, Huijun Guo, Liuwang Diao, Dongming Zhou, Xinru Zhang, Xiaoliang PeerJ Comput Sci Algorithms and Analysis of Algorithms Building upon the foundational principles of the grid search algorithm and Monte Carlo numerical simulation, this article introduces an innovative epidemic monitoring and prevention plan. The plan offers the capability to accurately identify the sources of infectious diseases and predict the final scale and duration of the epidemic. The proposed plan is implemented in schools and society, utilizing computer simulation analysis. Through this analysis, the plan enables precise localization of infection sources for various demographic groups, with an error rate of less than 3%. Additionally, the plan allows for the estimation of the epidemic cycle duration, which typically spans around 14 days. Notably, higher population density enhances fault tolerance and prediction accuracy, resulting in smaller errors and more reliable simulation outcomes. Overall, this study provides highly valuable theoretical guidance for effective epidemic prevention and control efforts. PeerJ Inc. 2023-07-12 /pmc/articles/PMC10403190/ /pubmed/37547412 http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj-cs.1479 Text en ©2023 Chen et al. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, reproduction and adaptation in any medium and for any purpose provided that it is properly attributed. For attribution, the original author(s), title, publication source (PeerJ Computer Science) and either DOI or URL of the article must be cited.
spellingShingle Algorithms and Analysis of Algorithms
Chen, Xin
Ning, Huijun
Guo, Liuwang
Diao, Dongming
Zhou, Xinru
Zhang, Xiaoliang
Epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and Monte Carlo numerical simulation algorithm
title Epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and Monte Carlo numerical simulation algorithm
title_full Epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and Monte Carlo numerical simulation algorithm
title_fullStr Epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and Monte Carlo numerical simulation algorithm
title_full_unstemmed Epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and Monte Carlo numerical simulation algorithm
title_short Epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and Monte Carlo numerical simulation algorithm
title_sort epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and monte carlo numerical simulation algorithm
topic Algorithms and Analysis of Algorithms
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10403190/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37547412
http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj-cs.1479
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