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Epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and Monte Carlo numerical simulation algorithm
Building upon the foundational principles of the grid search algorithm and Monte Carlo numerical simulation, this article introduces an innovative epidemic monitoring and prevention plan. The plan offers the capability to accurately identify the sources of infectious diseases and predict the final s...
Autores principales: | , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
PeerJ Inc.
2023
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10403190/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37547412 http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj-cs.1479 |
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author | Chen, Xin Ning, Huijun Guo, Liuwang Diao, Dongming Zhou, Xinru Zhang, Xiaoliang |
author_facet | Chen, Xin Ning, Huijun Guo, Liuwang Diao, Dongming Zhou, Xinru Zhang, Xiaoliang |
author_sort | Chen, Xin |
collection | PubMed |
description | Building upon the foundational principles of the grid search algorithm and Monte Carlo numerical simulation, this article introduces an innovative epidemic monitoring and prevention plan. The plan offers the capability to accurately identify the sources of infectious diseases and predict the final scale and duration of the epidemic. The proposed plan is implemented in schools and society, utilizing computer simulation analysis. Through this analysis, the plan enables precise localization of infection sources for various demographic groups, with an error rate of less than 3%. Additionally, the plan allows for the estimation of the epidemic cycle duration, which typically spans around 14 days. Notably, higher population density enhances fault tolerance and prediction accuracy, resulting in smaller errors and more reliable simulation outcomes. Overall, this study provides highly valuable theoretical guidance for effective epidemic prevention and control efforts. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-10403190 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | PeerJ Inc. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-104031902023-08-05 Epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and Monte Carlo numerical simulation algorithm Chen, Xin Ning, Huijun Guo, Liuwang Diao, Dongming Zhou, Xinru Zhang, Xiaoliang PeerJ Comput Sci Algorithms and Analysis of Algorithms Building upon the foundational principles of the grid search algorithm and Monte Carlo numerical simulation, this article introduces an innovative epidemic monitoring and prevention plan. The plan offers the capability to accurately identify the sources of infectious diseases and predict the final scale and duration of the epidemic. The proposed plan is implemented in schools and society, utilizing computer simulation analysis. Through this analysis, the plan enables precise localization of infection sources for various demographic groups, with an error rate of less than 3%. Additionally, the plan allows for the estimation of the epidemic cycle duration, which typically spans around 14 days. Notably, higher population density enhances fault tolerance and prediction accuracy, resulting in smaller errors and more reliable simulation outcomes. Overall, this study provides highly valuable theoretical guidance for effective epidemic prevention and control efforts. PeerJ Inc. 2023-07-12 /pmc/articles/PMC10403190/ /pubmed/37547412 http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj-cs.1479 Text en ©2023 Chen et al. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, reproduction and adaptation in any medium and for any purpose provided that it is properly attributed. For attribution, the original author(s), title, publication source (PeerJ Computer Science) and either DOI or URL of the article must be cited. |
spellingShingle | Algorithms and Analysis of Algorithms Chen, Xin Ning, Huijun Guo, Liuwang Diao, Dongming Zhou, Xinru Zhang, Xiaoliang Epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and Monte Carlo numerical simulation algorithm |
title | Epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and Monte Carlo numerical simulation algorithm |
title_full | Epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and Monte Carlo numerical simulation algorithm |
title_fullStr | Epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and Monte Carlo numerical simulation algorithm |
title_full_unstemmed | Epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and Monte Carlo numerical simulation algorithm |
title_short | Epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and Monte Carlo numerical simulation algorithm |
title_sort | epidemic monitoring in real-time based on dynamic grid search and monte carlo numerical simulation algorithm |
topic | Algorithms and Analysis of Algorithms |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10403190/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37547412 http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj-cs.1479 |
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