Why Can’t I Stop Smoking: Predictors of Tobacco Use and Quit Rates in the Freedom From Tobacco Program

Introduction As the leading cause of preventable chronic diseases in adults 18 years and older, tobacco usage in the U.S. results in over 20 million premature deaths annually. Current smokers might need extra support on the path to successfully quitting. Aim To evaluate the influence of predictors of smoking-on-smoking cessation in the Freedom From Tobacco Program (FFT) offered by Southern California Permanente Medical Group (SCPMG). Methods This was a quasi-experimental study to evaluate rates of smoking cessation among participants in the FFT program. There were 471 participants in the study. Factors of the Social Ecological Model (SEM) and demographics were examined to determine if they could predict tobacco cessation. The SEM suggests that an individual’s behavior is integrated into a network of intrapersonal characteristics, interpersonal processes, institutional factors, community features, and public policy. In particular, the study mainly addressed the institutional factor. It was promoted within a Health Management Organization and the interpersonal process because it was a group intervention. Findings After multiple regression analyses with all predictors from the SEM and demographics, the only significant predictor was the number of previous attempts to quit. Smokers who tried to stop four or more times in the past were 2.6 times (p<0.03) more likely to quit than those who tried fewer times. As we are aware, this was the first time this result was found for programs implemented by Health Management Organizations. The general quit rate at 12 months for the FFT program was 43.1%. Conclusion As the only predictor of quitting in this study was the number of previous attempts to quit smoking, the recommendation is to develop longer-term smoking cessation programs or a longer follow-up to facilitate smokers who relapse to go back and try to quit again. Another recommendation is to identify the main reasons for relapse and try to address these factors in further interventions.