Predictive Synthesis of Copper Selenides Using a Multidimensional Phase Map Constructed with a Data-Driven Classifier

[Image: see text] Copper selenides are an important family of materials with applications in catalysis, plasmonics, photovoltaics, and thermoelectrics. Despite being a binary material system, the Cu–Se phase diagram is complex and contains multiple crystal structures in addition to several metastable structures that are not found on the thermodynamic phase diagram. Consequently, the ability to synthetically navigate this complex phase space poses a significant challenge. We demonstrate that data-driven learning can successfully map this phase space in a minimal number of experiments. We combine soft chemistry (chimie douce) synthetic methods with multivariate analyses via classification techniques to enable predictive phase determination. A surrogate model was constructed with experimental data derived from a design matrix of four experimental variables: C–Se bond strength of the selenium precursor, time, temperature, and solvent composition. The reactions in the surrogate model resulted in 11 distinct phase combinations of copper selenide. These data were used to train a classification model that predicts the phase with 95.7% accuracy. The resulting decision tree enabled conclusions to be drawn about how the experimental variables affect the phase and provided prescriptive synthetic conditions for specific phase isolation. This guided the accelerated phase targeting in a minimum number of experiments of klockmannite CuSe, which could not be isolated in any of the reactions used to construct the surrogate model. The reaction conditions that the model predicted to synthesize klockmannite CuSe were experimentally validated, highlighting the utility of this approach.