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An illusion of predictability in scientific results: Even experts confuse inferential uncertainty and outcome variability
Traditionally, scientists have placed more emphasis on communicating inferential uncertainty (i.e., the precision of statistical estimates) compared to outcome variability (i.e., the predictability of individual outcomes). Here, we show that this can lead to sizable misperceptions about the implicat...
| Autores principales: | , , , , , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
National Academy of Sciences
2023
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10438372/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37556500 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2302491120 |