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Generation of multi-scrolls in corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) chaotic system and its impact on the zero-covid policy

In this paper, we discussed the impossibility of achieving zero-covid cases per day for all time with the help of fuzzy theory, while how a single case can trigger chaotic situation in the nearby city is elaborated using multi-scrolls. To accomplish this goal, we consider the number of new cases per...

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Autores principales: Marwan, Muhammad, Han, Maoan, Khan, Rizwan
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10457353/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37626140
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-40651-2
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author Marwan, Muhammad
Han, Maoan
Khan, Rizwan
author_facet Marwan, Muhammad
Han, Maoan
Khan, Rizwan
author_sort Marwan, Muhammad
collection PubMed
description In this paper, we discussed the impossibility of achieving zero-covid cases per day for all time with the help of fuzzy theory, while how a single case can trigger chaotic situation in the nearby city is elaborated using multi-scrolls. To accomplish this goal, we consider the number of new cases per day; [Formula: see text] to be the preferred state variable by restricting its value to the interval (0, 1). One can need to think of [Formula: see text] as a member of a fuzzy set and provide that set with appropriate membership functions. Moreover, how a single incident in one city can spread chaos to other cities is also addressed at length, using multi-scroll attractors and the signal excitation function. In addition, a bifurcation diagram of daily new instances vs the parameter [Formula: see text] is shown, elaborating that daily new cases may show a decrease under strict rules and regulations, but can again lead to chaos. Apart from biologist, this paper can play vital role for engineers as well in a sense that, a signal function can be embedded in non-symmetric systems for the creation of multi-scroll attractors in all directions using a generalized algorithm that has been designed in the current work. Finally, it is our future target to show that the covid is leading towards influenza and will be no more dangerous as was in the past.
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spelling pubmed-104573532023-08-27 Generation of multi-scrolls in corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) chaotic system and its impact on the zero-covid policy Marwan, Muhammad Han, Maoan Khan, Rizwan Sci Rep Article In this paper, we discussed the impossibility of achieving zero-covid cases per day for all time with the help of fuzzy theory, while how a single case can trigger chaotic situation in the nearby city is elaborated using multi-scrolls. To accomplish this goal, we consider the number of new cases per day; [Formula: see text] to be the preferred state variable by restricting its value to the interval (0, 1). One can need to think of [Formula: see text] as a member of a fuzzy set and provide that set with appropriate membership functions. Moreover, how a single incident in one city can spread chaos to other cities is also addressed at length, using multi-scroll attractors and the signal excitation function. In addition, a bifurcation diagram of daily new instances vs the parameter [Formula: see text] is shown, elaborating that daily new cases may show a decrease under strict rules and regulations, but can again lead to chaos. Apart from biologist, this paper can play vital role for engineers as well in a sense that, a signal function can be embedded in non-symmetric systems for the creation of multi-scroll attractors in all directions using a generalized algorithm that has been designed in the current work. Finally, it is our future target to show that the covid is leading towards influenza and will be no more dangerous as was in the past. Nature Publishing Group UK 2023-08-25 /pmc/articles/PMC10457353/ /pubmed/37626140 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-40651-2 Text en © The Author(s) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Marwan, Muhammad
Han, Maoan
Khan, Rizwan
Generation of multi-scrolls in corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) chaotic system and its impact on the zero-covid policy
title Generation of multi-scrolls in corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) chaotic system and its impact on the zero-covid policy
title_full Generation of multi-scrolls in corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) chaotic system and its impact on the zero-covid policy
title_fullStr Generation of multi-scrolls in corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) chaotic system and its impact on the zero-covid policy
title_full_unstemmed Generation of multi-scrolls in corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) chaotic system and its impact on the zero-covid policy
title_short Generation of multi-scrolls in corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) chaotic system and its impact on the zero-covid policy
title_sort generation of multi-scrolls in corona virus disease 2019 (covid-19) chaotic system and its impact on the zero-covid policy
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10457353/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37626140
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-40651-2
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