Antibiotic Use Prior to COVID-19 Vaccine Is Associated with Higher Risk of COVID-19 and Adverse Outcomes: A Propensity-Scored Matched Territory-Wide Cohort

Background: Antibiotics may increase the risk of COVID-19 among non-vaccinated subjects via probable gut dysbiosis. We aimed to investigate whether antibiotics also affect the clinical outcomes of COVID-19 vaccine recipients. Methods: This was a territory-wide cohort study of 3,821,302 COVID-19 vaccine recipients (aged ≥ 18 years) with ≥2 doses of either BNT162b2 or CoronaVac. Exclusion criteria included prior COVID-19, prior gastrointestinal surgery, and immunocompromised status. The primary outcome was COVID-19 infection and secondary outcomes included COVID-19-related hospitalization and severe infection (composite of intensive care unit admission, ventilatory support, and/or death). Exposure was pre-vaccination antibiotic use (within 180 days of first vaccine dose). Covariates included age, sex, Charlson Comorbidity Index, and concomitant medication use. Subjects were followed from the index date (first dose vaccination) until outcome occurrence, death, an additional dose of vaccination, or 15 November 2022. Propensity score (PS) matching and a Poisson regression model were used to estimate the adjusted incidence rate ratio (aIRR) of outcomes with antibiotic use. Results: Among 342,338 PS matched three-dose vaccine recipients (mean age: 57.4 years; male: 45.1%) with a median follow-up of 13.6 months (IQR: 9.2–16.3), antibiotics were associated with a higher risk of COVID-19 infection (aIRR: 1.16;95% CI: 1.14–1.19), hospitalization (aIRR: 1.75;95% CI: 1.65–1.86), and severe infection (aIRR: 1.60; 95% CI: 1.21–2.11). Notably, antibiotic use was associated with a higher risk of severe infection and death among CoronaVac recipients (aIRR: 1.62 95% CI: 1.18–2.22 and aIRR: 2.70, 95% CI: 1.54–4.73 for the two secondary outcomes, respectively), but not BNT162b2 recipients. Conclusions: Pre-vaccination use of antibiotics was associated with a higher risk of COVID-19 infection, hospitalization, and severe disease outcomes.