Prevalence of type 2 diabetes and pre-diabetes in Sri Lanka: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this research was to determine the prevalence of diabetes and pre-diabetes in Sri Lanka. DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE (via PubMed), Web of Science, Sri Lankan Journals online and Google Scholar were searched for relevant articles published between January 1990 and June 2022 investigating the prevalence of pre-diabetes and diabetes in Sri Lanka. METHODS: Random effect meta-analyses were conducted to derive the pooled prevalence of pre-diabetes and diabetes and their 95% CIs. Heterogeneity was explored by subgroup and meta-regression analyses. Sensitivity analyses were used to evaluate the impact of any single study on the pooled estimates. Two authors screened articles, extracted data and evaluated the quality of selected studies. RESULTS: A total of 479 articles were reviewed, and 15 studies (n=30 137 participants) were selected in the final analysis. The overall pooled prevalence of diabetes was 12.07% (95% CI, 8.71% to 15.89%; prediction interval: 1.28–31.35). The pooled pre-diabetes prevalence was 15.57% (95% CI, 9.45% to 22.88%; prediction interval: 0.02–49.87). The pooled type 2 diabetes prevalence was the highest in the latest period of 2011–2021 (17.25%) than in the period of 2000s (11.84%) and 1990s (5.62%). CONCLUSIONS: The growing trend of diabetes and pre-diabetes over the last 30 years is alarming in Sri Lanka. The government of Sri Lanka needs to take steps to improve diabetes education, screening, diagnosis and treatment. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42021288591.