Mathematical modelling with Bayesian inference to quantitatively characterize therapeutic cell behaviour in nerve tissue engineering

Cellular engineered neural tissues have significant potential to improve peripheral nerve repair strategies. Traditional approaches depend on quantifying tissue behaviours using experiments in isolation, presenting a challenge for an overarching framework for tissue design. By comparison, mathematical cell–solute models benchmarked against experimental data enable computational experiments to be performed to test the role of biological/biophysical mechanisms, as well as to explore the impact of different design scenarios and thus accelerate the development of new treatment strategies. Such models generally consist of a set of continuous, coupled, partial differential equations relying on a number of parameters and functional forms. They necessitate dedicated in vitro experiments to be informed, which are seldom available and often involve small datasets with limited spatio-temporal resolution, generating uncertainties. We address this issue and propose a pipeline based on Bayesian inference enabling the derivation of experimentally informed cell–solute models describing therapeutic cell behaviour in nerve tissue engineering. We apply our pipeline to three relevant cell types and obtain models that can readily be used to simulate nerve repair scenarios and quantitatively compare therapeutic cells. Beyond parameter estimation, the proposed pipeline enables model selection as well as experiment utility quantification, aimed at improving both model formulation and experimental design.