Prepregnancy overweight and obesity and long-term risk of venous thromboembolism in women

Overweight and obesity rates have increased in recent decades, particularly among the younger population. The long-term consequences of obesity with respect to early venous thromboembolism (VTE) in women have not been established. The aim was to investigate the association between body mass index (BMI) in early pregnancy as a proxy for non-pregnant weight and long-term post-pregnancy risk of VTE in women. This registry-based prospective cohort study analysed data from the Swedish Medical Birth Registry, linked to the National Patient and the National Cause of Death Registries for information on post-pregnancy long-term risk of VTE. Cox proportional hazards model were used to determine the association between BMI at baseline and VTE events during follow-up starting 1 year after baseline. The mean age at registration was 27.5 (standard deviation, 4.9) years. During a median follow-up duration of 12 years (interquartile range, 6–21 years) starting 1 year after the first antenatal visit, 1765 and 2549 women had a deep vein thrombosis and/or pulmonary embolism. The risk of VTE linearly increased with increasing BMI. Compared to women with 20 ≤ BMI < 22.5 kg/m(2), women with high normal weight, i.e. with a BMI of 22.5–25.0 kg/m(2), had an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.30 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19–1.41), whereas those with a BMI of 30–35 kg/m(2) and ≥ 35 kg/m(2) (severe obesity) had an adjusted HR of 2.35 (95% CI 2.04–2.70) and 3.47 (95% CI 2.82–4.25, respectively. Using BMI in early pregnancy as a proxy for pre-pregnancy or non-pregnant BMI in young women, we found a significantly increased risk of post-pregnancy long-term risk of VTE even in those with high normal BMI, compared with lean women, whereas those with severe obesity had a markedly high risk.